Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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martedì 27 marzo 2018
Egypt in the elections
The Egyptian presidential elections, which take place during these days, have an already defined outcome. The
alternatives for the approximately sixty million voters are not many
and the only candidacy, in addition to the outgoing president Al Sisi,
who will emerge victorious from the polls, is a politician who is part
of a party that has always provided all its support to the government in charge. An
election, therefore, that has as its value only the accomplishment of a
legal duty, without effective competition, because it takes place
within the same political field. The
Muslim Brotherhood, a political formation that had won the last
elections where there had been a real contradictory, had been put out of
action, but that, after the inauguration of power, had abused their
majority position, all the other formations or competitors able to
collect a significant number of consents were forced out of the country's active political life. The
methods are well known: the use of force has been preponderant in
Egyptian political dialectics, through torture, the death penalty and in
general terror and repression as instruments of one-way politics. If,
at the beginning, this methodology was used against religious-political
opponents, then the Egyptian dictatorship also expanded its action
against more moderate or secular parties and movements, which demanded
only a greater rate of democracy in the country. . This rift in Egyptian society may be the reason for the greater fear of the winner already announced: abstention. In
fact, a low turnout at the polls could lead to a lower legitimacy of
the investiture of Al Sisi and could, consequently, aggravate the
problems at the international level; the
Egyptian government has been subjected to deeply negative judgments,
precisely because of the violence of the repressions to which the
opponents were subjected, however, no practical measure, such as
sanctions, has ever been taken against Cairo. The
Egyptian government plays an essential role for the West as a function
of anti-Islamic fundamentalism, a role also greatly appreciated by a
large part of the country's society, which prefers a military
dictatorship to a religious dictatorship, as Egypt had become with the
Brothers Muslims to the government. In
this part, more or less favorable to the regime, the minority of
Christians is included, which, however, reach about fifteen percent of
the total population; with
Al Sisi in the government the Christians felt more protected and the
forecasts are that they will vote almost entirely in their favor. The
real danger of these elections are the possible attacks, which would
draw attention to Egypt and could compromise the control of the country
of the president in office. For
this reason, even more stringent control measures have been implemented
on the country, even if the area considered most dangerous is always
that of Sinai. In
this territory the presence of different components of Islamic
terrorism, welded with the most extreme parts of the Palestinian
movements, have forced the Egyptian armed forces to a constant and
massive action, which is not yet clear what results it has given. The
Egyptian military is supported by the US and Israeli allies in the
fight against the adverse forces that find refuge in the Sinai desert
and this alliance is the best international justification for Al Sisi's
stay in the country's government, precisely in order to avoid a drift to
Egypt. Islamic fundamentalist. As
for the internal situation, the economy is in a very difficult
situation and the country survives thanks to foreign contributions,
which are granted just keep a control on now unlikely returns of Islamic
fundamentalism. The
Egyptian population seems to accept the General's government, also due
to the lack of valid alternatives due to both the repression and the
exhaustion of consensus for the other movements that did not know or
wanted to integrate with the Al Sisi regime. What appears is a sort of resignation that turns out to be the determined element of this election.
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