Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
Cerca nel blog
lunedì 11 giugno 2018
After the G7, Trump pushes the US to isolation
At
the G7 in Canada, the US was alone against everyone and almost
completely disagreed on most of the points in the discussion program. The
only convergences seem to have been found on gender equality, work and
growth, which are important meeting points but also that allow a certain
vagueness on the contents and that are not sufficient to bridge the
distances that were already known, but which were highlighted even more so. Trump's
attitude was hostile even before the start of the summit, so much so
that it was feared that only the vice president was present at the
United States, as happened with the Peruvian summit of Latin American
states. The
real risk, that Trump does not sign the final document, rejecting the
common declaration completely and, not only the climate aspect, as
happened at the Italian summit of Taormina, has been verified. In addition to the climate, the most relevant topics were the duties and the Iranian nuclear treaty issue. The
issue of protectionism, which Trump wants to pursue stubbornly, in
addition to striking individually the state economies, including those
of Canada, Japan, Germany, France, Italy and Great Britain, ie the
remaining members of the G7, risks compromise the agreements reached with China, about trade relations with Beijing. Washington
has shown itself to remain unyielding on the will to impose tariffs
against Europe and Canada in the measure of 25% on steel and 10% of
aluminum and the European will to hit a series of American products with
a total tax that rebalancing
the amount that will have to undergo steel and aluminum from the old
continent, the White House has threatened to introduce further tariffs
on cars from Europe and Southeast Asia. One
of the main effects, if this threat was implemented, could be the end
of the World Trade Organization following a series of actions and
reactions that would trigger on the global market. The
possibility is that, in terms of international trade, we can go back
several years, with the elimination of jobs and the inauguration of a
phase of heavy general economic crisis. American
isolation, however, is dangerous, first of all, for the US, because the
tension with the Europeans could force the old continent to make ever
closer collaboration agreements with China, condemning the progressive
marginalization of Washington. It
is not a remote hypothesis, China and Europe are already substantially
in agreement with the climate and global warming and, with increasingly
intense commercial and collaborative relationships, could subvert the
current state of affairs. For
the US, commercial isolation could also result in less political
importance, if Europe manages to build its own armed forces and to find
one, even minimal, on foreign policy. In this situation, it could also introduce Russia to bring division into the American allies. Trump
insists, in his program summarized by the phrase "America first",
considering it impossible for historical allies to loose their contacts
with Washington, even if they were the object of economic injustice; but
the approval of the American president is always lower in Europe and
these moves could accelerate the separation from the United States,
especially considering the current historical context, where the logic
of the opposing blocs has long since set and globalization has opened up
scenarios completely different, with new logics, which can not separate the economy from international relations and defense structures. But
Trump could overturn reality even more clamorously by opening a channel
of privileged dialogue with Moscow, a factor hitherto prevented by the
American bureaucracy, that the president is slowly taking on his side
with increasingly frequent changes at the top. It
has been said that Trump's action is based on an increasingly used
unpredictability, however the question is whether behind this use of
unpredictability in massive doses, there is a pre-built project or if
the American president is based on improvisation due at the moment particular and its momentary opinions. In any case, the US, with Trump in the White House. I
am an interlocutor, always important, but always less reliable, from
which we need to loosen the bonds as soon as possible, to form a West
and a Europe capable of making independent decisions and being able to
support them.
Iscriviti a:
Commenti sul post (Atom)
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento