Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 7 giugno 2018
The Atlantic Alliance fears to weaken due to tensions between the US and Europe
The
distance that increases between European countries and the United
States marks a novelty in relations within the Western bloc. The
need to maintain greater convergence in security issues, however,
remains a priority in the face of new global emergencies, the dangers of
terrorism and facing international tensions, although of a world no
longer in two parts, but with increasingly important players, like China. Within the West the role of the Atlantic Alliance retains its priority in matters of defense and security; if
before the members of the alliance were substantially aligned, as well
as on the military issues also on those of international relations and
economic relations, the current scenario returns a situation that has
progressively changed the respective needs of individual states in the
face of globalization issues and internal politics. The
conflictual relationship that began on the commodities, and on the
relative duties to impose, between the USA and Europe, since Trump
became the new American president, has outlined a distance between the
two sides as had never happened in history; however,
the Trump variable also provoked a strong difference in the assessment
of the Iranian nuclear agreement: with Europe it is wishing to maintain
its signed with Tehran, while the United States, closer to the Sunni
powers and Israel compared to the Obama's presidency, are now deeply opposed to allowing the civil development of Iranian country's atomic technology. Another negative factor is the American negative attitude towards the climate agreement. At
the summit of the Atlantic Alliance these tensions caused an alarm due
to the fear of relapse within the alliance, considering the fact that
Turkey has so far moved alongside Russia, a traditional opponent of the
Atlantic Alliance, which has recently
taken back a role of primary importance in the international scene and
of the recent declarations of the new Italian government, which said it
was in favor of a revision of sanctions against Moscow, imposed because
of the Ukrainian question, an opinion supported by several states
belonging to the European Union. The
Secretary of the Atlantic Alliance voiced the growing discomfort within
the organization, recognizing that the major divergences present must
not compromise security cooperation, which would weaken cooperation
among Alliance members. For
the time being, international analysts believe that the issues that
cause distance between the members have not had an impact on the
functioning of the Atlantic Alliance, but that should an increase in
disagreement occur, the next summit of the organization could be very
difficult. There
is also the problem of the American request, to the other states to
increase military spending up to 2% of the individual gross domestic
product. Washington
has a double interest in these increases in spending: on the one hand a
greater participation in defense spending, a legitimate request because
up to now the US, also to maintain the status quo of the world's first
power, an aspect to which they care a lot ,
they have supported much of the financial effort to keep the alliance
efficient, but there is also another, less noble aspect, which consists
in wanting to target this expenditure in armaments produced in the US
borders. This
aspect could generate further conflicts because the obstacles for the
European industries imposed by the US prevent access to the Atlantic
Alliance market, going, in fact, to constitute a form of protectionism
practiced by other means. The
concern of the leaders of the Atlantic Alliance is, therefore,
justified, and can be mitigated with a very difficult internal
diplomatic action, also because the European Union, although still far
away, has undertaken the direction of the creation of a European army,
which it
may not be framed in the Atlantic Alliance, either to make itself more
independent of American aid, and to have room for maneuver and greater
autonomy in international contexts. This goal is considered indispensable by Germany and France to avoid excessive dependence on subjects like Trump in the future.
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