The Indian aviation bombs the Pakistani territory

The action of Indian military aviation in Pakistani territory, constitutes an anomaly in contrast with the behavior that New Delhi is used to have, even in critical situations, with Pakistan. It is very rare indeed that Indian airplanes cross their border. The military action is part of a situation of growing tension between the two countries, especially after the terrorist attack, which took place in Indian Kashmir and which caused the death of 42 Indian police officers. India's strategy would be based on the prevention of new terrorist attacks, considered very probable by the New Delhi government. The attitude of the Pakistani country is, for now, to diminish the Indian action, which according to the sources of the Foreign Ministry would have caused the death of 300 militants of Islamic fundamentalist organizations. Pakistan has a double interest to deny the effects of the Indian attack: the first is to not show its weakness in defending its borders, but it is the second that is considered most important by analysts: the confirmation of the victims of the bombing in Pakistani territory, it would also imply admitting the existence of Islamic fundamentalist training camps in areas bordering India. These terrorist formations would be close to Al Qaeda and included in the list of terrorists drawn up by the UN since 2001. The aversion of these militias against India is a known fact and the suspicions of connivance with the Pakistani government have been present for some time. , both in New Delhi and in Washington; the ambiguous position of the Pakistani government towards Islamic terrorists has long provoked a lack of confidence on the part of the United States and the Atlantic Alliance and in this case one can even suspect the instrumental use of fundamentalists to raise the level of conflict along the border between the two countries and affect India indirectly. The fact remains that at this time the Indian country has become the protagonist of an act that, formally, can be defined as war against another nation invading its territory, albeit for a limited period of time. The caution of Pakistan, which has not even implemented diplomatic protests, increases suspicions about Islamabad, but does not allow us to fully understand the intentions of the Pakistani government. If, on the one hand, there is every interest in minimizing the incident to avoid compromising admissions, on the other hand there is the fear that Pakistan has embarked on a new tactic in the undeclared war against India. use of terrorists pursues a dangerous intent to destabilize the border area, which has always been the subject of litigation between the two parties. Although it is superfluous to remember that both countries are nuclear powers, this figure should not be kept in mind to try to make a prediction of the possible scenarios. In addition, we must consider other actors that are present in the scenario: China, a traditional regional opponent of India, which is operating in Pakistan with large investments, while the United States is closer to New Delhi, even if Pakistan remains an unreliable ally , but strategic in the Afghan question. The interweaving of international interests is completed with the desire to re-emerge organizations like Al Qaeda, as already said very close to the Pakistani terrorists, who could try to fill the gap left by the Islamic State by launching a large-scale terrorist campaign, as it is its own mode of action, which could also include the border between Pakistan and India just as a factor of world prominence and resonance. The impression is that India's action may mark an important and very dangerous development in the Indo-Pakistan question, with largely unpredictable consequences, which international diplomacy will have to constantly monitor to prevent the crisis from having dangerous enlargements.