The reasons for the failure of Hanoi between the US and North Korea

Despite the good conditions, which according to the US president, were created with North Korea, the Hanoi summit ended with nothing. Trump probably overestimated his ability as an international negotiator, based only on his experience as a businessman. The result was an interruption of the negotiations that shows how the process of denuclearization of the Korean peninsula is still very far and everything to be defined. For the US and, above all for the White House tenant, one has the feeling that this conclusion was a sort of diplomatic defeat. If the expected outcome was the definition of the denuclearization process of North Korea, which remains one of the main, if not Trump's main foreign policy objectives, the result is completely contrary to this expectation. The American president probably expected a total remission from Kim Jong's attitude, based on the poor economic status of the North Korean country and on the need to suppress internal dissent that seemed to be growing. Trump's assessment, and certainly most of his analysts, turned out to be completely wrong, because the Pyongyang leader's request was deliberately inadmissible. Ask for the cessation of sanctions without safe counterparts, in fact it was a showdown that Kim Jong a has long prepared to show that he still has all the control of the internal apparatus in front of the leader of the world's first power. The meaning is clear: to have made Trump sit at the negotiating table for nothing, means that North Korea, in addition to having nuclear power, has, from this moment, also the diplomatic force to deal on a par with the US. Although this of course is not true, the American president has given an unmissable opportunity to the North Korean dictator, who gave him a lesson in foreign policy difficult to forget. Thanks to Trump's poor attitude to being a man of government, the political visibility of North Korea has grown considerably since the American billionaire resides in the White House, an impossible result when Obama was the president, even if he did not excel in foreign policy either. . Not having understood that for the North Korean regime, possession of the atomic weapon is essential from its very survival is a huge mistake, in which Trump fell thanks to the effective tactics of Kim Jong, who avoided exposure to the media international, avoiding threatening the US and South Korea and not launching more trial missiles in the ocean. This period of tranquility was assessed by Trump as sufficient to expect a positive outcome of the negotiation, despite the news that the American secret services communicated to the White House. In reality, nuclear plants have never been turned off and atomic tests continued, but only in absolute silence. The suspicion is that Kim Jong un used Trump to weaken the American image: a result certainly pleasing to China. If the North Korean laeder has acted alone to please Beijing or if it has been an instrument of awareness of the Chinese country, it is of little importance. The reality is that North Korea and China have improved relations, as demonstrated by the four visits of Kim Jong a carried out in Beijing, which signal that relations between the two countries are back friendly, after very difficult periods. For Beijing it is important that Pyongyang maintain a different attitude so as not to allow the dreaded union of the two Koreas, which would bring the US military to the Chinese border. The fundamental error, which triggers Trump's failure to negotiate with North Korea, is precisely that of not taking into account the variable China in question: a decisive undervaluation, which indicates the shallow depth of analysis of the White House.