USA and Mexico reach an agreement to avoid commercial duties

From an economic point of view, the agreement between the USA and Mexico allows the two countries to avoid dangerous cirys, not only from an economic but also from a political point of view. If the duties of Trump had entered into force, the United States would have had a contraction of the gross domestic product of 0.7% for the problems that would have suffered the automotive sector and that of the great distribution. On the other hand, the alarm had been given widely by the US Federal Reserve, the Wall Street stock exchange and the Republican party itself, which was ready to boycott the presidential decree. So a damage to the political prestige of the American president just inside his party about a year after the presidential elections. Also on the diplomatic level there was the concrete possibility of an opening of the state of crisis with the neighboring Mexican state: a problem on the borders, which would have been added to the various international crises in which the US are untangling. But if these were the potential consequences in American soil, even in the Mexican one a crisis with the main trading partner could have generated, internally, undesirable consequences. The US requests, to avoid the duties to Mexico, were to block the Mexican border with Guatemala, conduct a repression against the racket that favors illegal emigration and operate the practice of asylum seekers on Mexican soil, rather than on the American one. However, none of these requests was met, Mexico sent six thousand National Guard men to the southern border. For the rest, it is not known if there was no willingness to accept American requests or, rather, a practical impossibility to fulfill the American will. To put the control of the southern border into practice it is necessary to eliminate the presence of criminal organizations that control the trafficking of men and this involves an effort, where the mere military presence is not enough, but a considerable commitment is required from the secret services and a fight against corruption present in the Mexican bureaucratic apparatus. These difficulties are well known to the Americans and this causes serious questions about how much the American president could expect. The legitimate suspicion is that Trump used the usual tactic that involves a bombastic announcement, to then obtain a lower result than requested, but which must be enhanced by the White House apparatus as a success. Trump himself has claimed that his strategy achieves tangible results. However it remains reasonable to think that the presence of the six thousand men of the National Guard will be able to slow down, even considerably, the migratory flow but the real question is however. At the moment Mexico has done the thing that cost less effort and has obtained the block of the duties more than for its maneuver of front, for the impossibility to send in crisis the American industry from the US president and for the opposition of the financial, economic and political, US sectors. What then the merit of a Mexican diversionary maneuver, is ascribed to the strategy of the tenant of the White House not to change things: soon the migratory traffic towards the United States will resume as before. Rather the problem of the hygienic conditions of the reception centers of Arizona and Texas is in continuous aggravation, due to the many and continuous presences that are registered; this creates a tangible and obvious difficulty for American officials, who are unable to ensure the most basic health security standards. But this situation, well known in Washington, does not correspond to an adequate assistance from the central institutions, which seem to have adopted as a tactic to solve the problem, precisely the lack of adequate assistance to migrants, perhaps to convince them to desist in order to emigrate illegally in the United States.