Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 3 settembre 2019
England towards the elections
The political crisis, inside the United Kingdom, increases in intensity in an increasingly serious manner and could have as a resolution, a new electoral competition. There is already a hypothetical date, which would set the new political elections for next October 14th. It should be remembered that the date set for the exit of the British country from the Union is October 31st, a result that the current Prime Minister wants to respect, to ascribe a dubious political victory. The intention of the London government is not to ask for further referrals to Brussels and to avoid this possibility the possibility of the ballot boxes is presented as a sort of blackmail for those conservative parliamentarians, opposed to exiting Europe, either in an absolute manner , that with the times and the ways foreseen by the government in charge. In fact, the prime minister has threatened, in case of adherence to the Labor bill, which would postpone the expulsion of Brussels, by conservative deputies, from exclusion from the party's electoral lists for the October elections for another three months. The debate, therefore, assumes a particular relevance, first of all, in the ruling party, even before in the totality of the English political forces. The threat, in fact, goes beyond the exclusion from the candidacies, but it even contemplates the expulsion from the conservative party, for all those deputies should join the open-minded Labor and other opposition forces, in the search for a system of exit from the Europe, alternative from that provided by the government and, that is, without agreement with Brussels. After the tearing of the English social fabric, practically divided in half on the issue of leaving Europe, now the political scene in Great Britain is facing a laceration of its territory, for the Scottish question, but also of the same major party of the country. The scenarios that open up may be the most diverse, but the conservative party, which has given power to such a prime minister, risks a downsizing ever seen in its history. Before the closure of the parliament, imposed to prevent discussion of the decision on leaving the Union, the reopening of the English parliament is scheduled and the bill for the request for another three months in Brussels will be discussed here. just to avoid an exit without agreement; this law has been defined, in no uncertain terms, as a real question of trust in the government, which, if defeated, would only have another way for a new electoral consultation. The prime minister has now embarked on a path of absolute arrogance, which does not include listening to different opinions, even within his electoral camp. The conservative deputies, opposed to the government line, are faced with a choice whether to align themselves with the positions of the premier or the leader of the opposition, who claims a unifying role for everyone, even if with a different political orientation, they want to avoid leaving without agreement, which would cause significant damage to the UK economy. The behavior of the prime minister, already censored for the postponement of parliamentary work, compared to a real coup, could provoke a split within the conservative party, which could present itself at the polls divided between those in favor of leaving and those against it to the premier's solution. But on the possible elections there are also hesitations on the part of the Labor party, who fear not to gain approval for the too timid positions on the Brexit issue, from their leader, a leader also too identified with the radical left to attract consensus from political fields different. However, if the reason for the elections is not going to be, as it will not be, of a general nature, but exclusively particular, that is focused on the issue of leaving Europe, the formation that can be formed against the prime minister in about, even if heterogeneous, should have good chance of winning. In this case, we could re-discuss everything, even the result of the consultative referendum that blocks English politics. Then even a new referendum on staying in Europe would have a good chance of winning, avoiding an economic crisis for England and the European Union.
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