Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 20 dicembre 2019
Trump trial symbol of US division
The story of the impeachement against Donald Trump, beyond the seriousness of the accusations and the general political context, imposes reflections on the state of the American electorate and of the profound political division that characterizes the country in this historical moment. According to a study by the most important sociological research center in the United States there has been a very large progression about the negative judgment of the Democrats towards the Republicans and the Republicans towards the Democrats. The numerical data speak, in the first case, of a very negative perception that the Democrats warn of the Republicans, passing from 16% in 1994 to 38% in 2014, while in the opposite case it has gone from 17% to 43%. The normal condition, historically, in the United States has always been of a relative proximity of the political programs of the two parties, this has contributed to determining a sort of political peace, which has not allowed very strong divisions in society. The research, on the contrary, indicates that since 2014 the opposite trend was emerging, probably due to the simultaneous presence of the first African American president, Barack Obama, and the affirmation, in the republican field of tea party. A further factor that affected the distance between the two electorates was the financial crisis, which favored the growth of the populist phenomenon, from which not even the United States could have avoided. In the end, the election of a president like Trump seems to have been the natural outcome of a contingent situation, added to the many errors of the Democratic Party. This fact, however, has sharpened the distances between the two electorates and further polarized the confrontation between the two sides. Moreover, the growth of substantial parts of the trend-setting democratic party towards the left is also a new aspect in American politics, precisely because of its size, and is due to a set of social needs, such as the fight against inequality, combined with the profound aversion to the current White House tenant. Trump's behavior, however unpopular with consistent sectors of the same Republican party, profoundly disrespectful of political conventions and, above all, in the lack of respect for the adversaries, both internal and international, through an offensive language and therefore unsuitable for the role he holds, has become the symbol of the division of American society. On the institutional side, the process of impeachement demonstrates how partisanship has become evident and without restraint. If it appears normal that it determines the victory in both branches of parliament, both the political provenance of deputies and senators, it is certainly less customary that those who must instruct the trial in the Senate, even if belonging to the Republican, should coordinate so clearly directly with the accused, stating that the trial outcome will still be discounted. This denotes an evident degeneration of American politics, now disregarding its own rules. The fact that Trump will not be condemned or not appears secondary, compared to how he will be judged. The meaning is that of a country with a profoundly unreliable system, which cannot, then generate a profound division, but, moreover, in this specific case it represents the very essence of populism, which wins because it does not respect the rules and that really likes it for this reason From the point of view of the international apolitics the question appears more and more worrying because it expresses that the most important country in the world and, like it or not a symbol of western values, has started on a road that certifies its lack of reliability and the ever lower reliability towards the values that he has always claimed to defend. If part of the American people is certainly opposed to these modes of exercising power, we must wait until the next presidential election to see if it will be the majority and therefore able to reverse the direction of the United States. In any case, whoever wins will do so with a minimum gap, leaving the country in the throes of profound lacerations that can only influence the balance and the global arrangements, especially from the Western point of view.
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