Politica Internazionale

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venerdì 28 febbraio 2020

Syrian crisis and possible international repercussions

The military escalation in Syria, which involves Syrian, Russian and Turkish forces, is taking on a level from which it seems difficult to go back. The picture of the situation presents the Syrian north-western area, the one on the border with Turkey, as the scene of military clashes, which have taken on the appearance of a confrontation to be defined as a real war. The peculiarity of the confrontation is that military forces clashing on the ground are the expression of strongly attenuated regimes or democracies, which pursue their strategic interests beyond the possible internal and international conseguneze and regardless of the situation of civilians. If it is difficult to say that in a war the good exist, in this conflict it is sure that all are the bad. The hosts, the Syrians who always have the dictator Assad in command, intend to regain control of the areas that have been stolen by the Turks and to achieve this goal do not hesitate to bomb the same Syrian population that has the misfortune to live in those territories. The Syrian bombing attacks essential infrastructures such as hospitals and the extent of the victims is such as to be able to define what is taking place as a genocide. Syrian forces alone would not have the strength to counter Turkish forces, just as Assad could not have saved himself without Russian help; once again the dictator of Damascus is able to maneuver the conflict according to his needs, regardless of the consequences suffered by the population: the crimes committed by the Syrian president have now reached a level that allows him to be called an international criminal. Moscow's responsibility appears evident, Russia wanted to play a leading role in the Middle Eastern chessboard to raise its relevance in the world and maintain its privileges in the Mediterranean, insured, at the beginning of the Syrian war, only from Damascus. Although Putin is an unscrupulous and unscrupulous politician, the impression is that Russia has remained as a subject engaged in the matter in spite of herself, that is, she has not been able to pull back at the right time, to arrive at the impossibility of withdrawing from the conflict. Turkey, which has a very complicated internal situation, both in politics and in the economy, has tried with international success to divert attention from its interior, also trying to combine the situation with the Kurdish question, to which, however, public opinion is very sensitive. Among the main supporters of Sunni terrorists, Ankara has tried to strengthen its positions on foreign territory by integrating them with regular troops, which, however, have encountered considerable difficulties precisely because of the presence of the Russians. The Syrian air raid, protected by the Russian anti-aircraft, caused more than thirty deaths among Turkish troops. The consequences are Ankara's request for some intervention by the Atlantic Alliance, which will involve the United States directly or indirectly in the conflict; while on Europe the pressure is to open the borders to the exodus of the Syrians on Turkish soil to the old continent. For those who still refuse to be involved in the Syrian situation, this means the end of all hope: the consequences will be inevitable, for Trump, who following Obama's example, wanted to ignore the issue, coming to abdicate the American role in the area (something that produced the advance of Russia and the protagonism of Iran) and for Europe, which will again see a mass of desperate press to their borders, again highlighting the racisms and sovereignties, which are so harmful to the life of the European Union itself. The lack of commitment in the diplomatic field these subjects, always limited to declarations and actions without results, turns against Washington and Brussels, which will be forced to try to find insufficient solutions. The Syrian war, from first local and then regional event, returns forcefully to the forefront of the international scenario and risks becoming the trigger for a potential global disorder, with critical consequences for stability. It seems that the time has come to deal with this responsibly and decisively by international organizations and those who should have the diplomatic ability to direct the crisis towards a solution of that type. Then the crimes of Assad, but also of Erdogan, will have to find justice.

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