The Korean peninsula deeper uncertainty

Joint military exercises between South Korea and the United States, undertaken as a partial response to Pyongyang's nuclear test, are causing severe reactions in North Korea. The climate that reigns in the so-called hermit country, is to an attempted invasion, an encirclement, which creates, through the persistent media campaign, a general mobilization of the entire population. Supreme Leader Kim Jong Un would have chosen the strategy of insisting on provocation to the entire world, with the thought of increasing both its international stature, and internal, against a very influential military. It is this aspect, to compete on the same ground of general seems to open gashes on the internal balance of the mysterious North Korean state. This way, all of the alternative to a more conscious and cautious addressed to the solution of internal problems related to feeding difficulties and underdevelopment, is totally detached from reality he lives in the country, left to its emergency for the short-lived run-up to the role of nuclear power. If the hope was to blackmail the world with the atomic bomb, to find a shortcut to the North Korean problem, the result was quite the contrary, backed by North Korea to very heavy penalties, which could lead the nation implosion. For Pyongyang, the entire Korean peninsula is on the brink of war, it seems very unlikely that the dictatorship of North Korea undergoes a risk of facing a conflict from which shattered. This impression is that of most analysts, although there are those who believe that Kim Jong Un can not help but make a few provocative answer, potentially pave the way for a military escalation, if the launch of an atomic vector appears on the U.S. unthinkable, actions such as the one carried out in 2010, which saw the sinking of a corvette of Seoul or the bombing that struck the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong, may fall in the availability of options in Pyongyang, which, however, should not take the risk to perform them during their military deployment U.S. and South Korean, so close to its territory. More likely the choice of unannounced action in periods of less immediate involvement of Washington. Remains the state of great uncertainty for the unpredictability of a regime accustomed to sudden twists.