Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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mercoledì 3 aprile 2013
China is increasingly blurred in front of the North Korean issue
China is subject to diplomatic pressure of so many countries to use its influence on Pyongyang, as his only ally. Were Paris and Berlin, through its embassy to China to engage in the most pressing demands of a direct intervention by Beijing, precisely because of the role it plays against North Korea. China appears, however, embarrassed in his impotence, diplomatic weapons used by the People's Republic have not yet had any effect and Pyongyang worse every day the situation coming very close to the clash with the southern neighbors. The last episode, which has banned the passage through the North Korean border, Seoul direct workers to the industrial town, located in the territory of North Korea, has further raised the temperature between the two states. Seoul has stated several times in the days before that a military response may arrive at any time against any provocation by North Korea, and with regard to the recent events the Ministry of Defence said he was ready for any possible option for defending the rights of employees. Russia, meanwhile, filters much concern for a situation that may escalate into a dangerous way to a relatively short distance from the borders of the country. The Chinese reaction to the blockade of the North Korean border was amazement and resulted, so far, the request to hold a moderate attitude to both parties and a call by Foreign Minister Zhang Yesui, the ambassadors of the U.S., North Korea and South Korea to express its concern about the development of the story. Objectively, a little too little, and the potential for China, which for the expectations of all the international scene. The feeling is that Beijing is located wholly unprepared to handle such a crisis in recent years, Chinese diplomacy has moved firmly into the principle of non-interference and has developed relationships that are purely economic relations with other states, based on the exchange trade or technology. On the contrary they have never been handled crisis of political or military, especially in the guise of a third country, essentially in the role of mediator. Now, despite being the country that knows better than North Korea, China can not find the right solution to stop the escalation that Pyongyang is practically the imposing. Surely in the allocated between the two countries have been activated all possible contacts, but the fact that North Korea never mentioned China officially, it could mean, in diplomatic language, that requests arrive in Beijing at the moment these are not they can be fulfilled. Right now Beijing is under attack from Pyongyang, which continues its seemingly dangerous strategy against neighbors South Korea and the United States. Beijing can not risk a war on the doorstep and for this reason the guiding principle of its foreign policy, non-interference in this case can not be applied absolutely. However, the official plan, China is moving in a limited way, if not awkward, creating panic among the Western powers and by the figure on the international stage, a giant with feet of clay. It is quite clear that this trend will not change and that this should happen in a very short time. For Beijing, the alternatives are not many: in the event of war will have to choose whether to side with Pyongyang, but the priority for China, second only to that of the two Koreas, is that the explosion of the conflict does not happen. To do this, in the short term, to prevent any provocation by North Korea, which does not intend to actually go to war, but is conducting a strategy that can get out of hand at any moment. This could be achieved with concessions to Pyongyang, but after the retaliation should start to avoid further blackmail. It remains difficult to predict future developments and what levers to allow China to bring Pyongyang to reason, but it would not be surprising if the mighty Chinese army decides to be deployed in the field, but against its dangerous ally.
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