Syria: uncertainties western face of the crisis

The U.S., Britain and the EU, continue their reflections on the developments of the Syrian War and the strategies to be adopted, especially on the issue of aid for the rebels in arms to the Assad dictatorship. The axis between Obama and Cameron intends to intensify the pressure on Damascus, but there remains a distrust of opposition is deeply divided and where there are many sectarian movements, which, once in power, they could continue the civil war based on religion. The Western countries think about the future of Syria, a country still united territorially, where religious divisions are overcome by a context of full democracy. To do so would be expected to selectively aid, with the supply of armaments exclusively for those groups who do not recognize religious extremism and sectarian. This address, if logically correct in theory, is very difficult to implement in practice, both for the deep mingling among the rebel groups, which include almost all members that refer to religion, albeit with more nuanced connotations, and because the groups most matrix Sunni extremists are still largely helped by the Persian Gulf monarchies, which are also very close allies of the United States. This vision of the Western countries, which remains locked on the possible, but less likely, development of the settlement of a democracy in Syria, reveals that the times of the Arab Spring Western behavior has not changed, and keeps the same mistakes and the same conviction, which proved to be wrong. If, for obvious reasons of geopolitics and strategy, Western nations prefer the establishment of a form of state of complete democracy and not a confessional system in place of an essentially secular dictatorship, this desire seems destined to remain so in a scenario where the 'religious element that is still predominant. An analysis of the forces in the field and the development of the situation it is clear that for the West will be a victory if you will win the contest will be a force where the Christian character will be moderated. Equally important will be the end of the conflict that the country does not divide into Syrian micro states, potentially in conflict with each other, a factor that could lead to a very strong instability in the region and even the dominant force that has in its intentions to continue the war Marital on a religious basis to perform a kind of ethnic cleansing according to the creed professed. All these elements of uncertainty contribute to the vacillation and indecision, primarily the U.S., but also of all the Western powers, which they can not find a clear direction and unambiguous faced with the dilemma of aid to the opponents of Assad. Despite the alliance with the Gulf countries is tight, U.S. policy seems puzzled activism by Sunni monarchies, with which, of course, can not find a summary and coordination, but the path of dialogue and understanding with Saudi Arabia, Oman and the United Arab Emirates, is the only possible way to try and mitigate the presence in the Arab world to a new state with a deeply religious orientation. In the range of options to remain even more drastic measures, even if these seem farther and farther away from the real possibility they happen, for obvious fear of the reactions that surely would raise in public opinion and in its relations with states, such as Russia, which support the regime in Damascus. All these factors together contribute to postpone the solution to the Syrian crisis that increasingly appears stuck in a dead end.