Turkey: the development of the crisis

Erdogan, accusing alleged foreign infiltration in the story of the protests games from Istanbul Park, as proof of lack of policy flexibility, maintaining an attitude of excessive rigidity, which seems to follow the vicissitudes of political anything attributable to the land of democracy. Covert foreign plots to attack is a well-defined schema that has the goal of not only recognize and, above all, to dealing with internal dissent. This time in the crosshairs are over, especially the foreign media, guilty in toto, not to recognize other reasons than those of the protesters and making it appear like a turkish premier undemocratic. In fact this was due to the disproportion of the initial containment of the protest by the Turkish police, even stigmatized by figures close to Erdogan's party. In fact the cause of the protests, the demolition of the park in the center of Istanbul, was only the spark that explode a social situation itself already very heavy. The illiberal measures adopted by the turkish government, ranging in a direction aimed to erase the secular nature of the state for the benefit of a greater influence of the Islamic religion in the laws and regulations of the state, have resulted in a degree of dissatisfaction widespread, that the economic well-being in the country was not enough to quell. Probably in Ankara had expected that economic growth could hide and do accept the turn confessional state, functional to a better relationship with economic partners with which Turkey maintains trade relations more advantageous. Not surprisingly, in his last speech, Erdogan has warned that the country's economic interests are at high risk, precisely because of the protests across the nation. It is not clear if this view of the Prime Minister in Ankara, is a real fear or attempt to put an end to the protests to preserve economic growth that Turkey has put in evidence even in the geopolitical terrain and diplomat, becoming a model for Arab states. What seems most obvious, though, is that there is a large share of Turkish society more ready for entry into Europe than their own leaders, that with the current behavior shift the geopolitical position of Turkey more and more to the east and, above all, much further from the old continent. Erdogan fears this analysis, which is taking shape in Western governments and in fact pointed out that the protests should not be framed as a struggle for democratic rights. This statement, when viewed in relation to the development of the situation, shows, however, as the opposite is true, even for the methods used to solve the problem, completely opposite to a resolution through dialogue, also advocated by parts very close to the formation of government. Now the real problem is to understand how the situation might evolve, also by virtue of the fact that the excessive concentration of power in the hands of the majority party, due to the fragmentation of the opposition, does not find a partner able to emerge from the magma movements of protest, to have an influence as to summarize all the varied formations in the field. This is the real crux of the problem which could cause dangerous changes in the story, to which must be added to a subject that now remained on the margins: the army. The Turkish Armed Forces, veterans of a process of inclusion in the country that seems to have been successful, have lost their authoritarian connotation, but they are characterized by strong secularism, which can not willingly see the transformations in the confessional sense that Erdogan seeks to impose. If important sectors of the armed forces decided to side with the protesters for the country there could be the risk of a total degeneration.