The causes of the Egyptian protest

The fracture democratic, that is taking place in Egypt, has matured thanks to the occurrence of several conditions that have combined to create a state of tension, which inevitably could not explode. The revolution against a tyrannical regime like that of Mubarak, had left, probably, by a minority of well-defined population of Egypt, that they might be changed economic conditions, political and social of the country, in this mass, not very organized, consisting of elements of great spontaneity, resulting from a state of profound prostration, you are cleverly inserted formations confessional, first of all that the Muslim Brotherhood, a big strong organizational skills, experience in hiding with the Mubarak government. This organization, which has managed to survive the persecution of the dictatorship, thanks to a penetration in the social strata took place on the basis of a concrete contribution to the needs of ordinary people, has been able to leverage their ability to move and help to establish relations with the determinants non-denominational parts of the protest, achieving a remarkable degree of visibility. However, these alliances could last as long as the enemy was common and was used to build a coalition forces in open conflict on almost all the issues to be addressed in the period following the liberation from Mubarak. It must be said that the electoral success of the confessional movements, including the Muslim Brotherhood is the largest political force, has depended not only by factors expressed previously, namely the large penetration into the social fabric and the great ability to organize the protest , is also depended on the long period of domination of Mubarak, who has stifled political rights in a very secular, causing a feeling, if not of aversion at least distrust of the parties that they referred to an unbound by the religious policy. The assertion of Mursi, legitimately elected, has resulted in a trend of how to govern almost exclusively the prerogative of the Islamic formations, which have heavily influenced the political state in a completely confessional, without taking any account of the needs of minorities, who favored a vision certainly less influenced by Islamic precepts. From the early stages preceding the promulgation of the new constitution, strongly founded on a vision overly Islam, it was realized that Egypt was moved from a secular dictatorship for a religious experience, where respect for political rights and minority rights, especially those of different religion from Islam or atheists, they were trampled again. This situation was experienced in an increasingly growing as an abuse of power even from a substantial part of the electorate that had voted in favor of the incumbent President. The state of the economy, which was one of the main detonators of the protest, then helped to further warm the hearts because of poor performance for the country of Egypt. The figure of unemployment, which has surpassed 13%, creates social tension, to which must be added the high cost of fuel and the disastrous situation of the tourism industry, which sees penalized inputs in the country due to the ongoing political instability. The tenure of President Mursi is now the subject of open conflict, so that the squares they expressly ask for the resignation, to be chosen as head of the rise of the increasing influence of the Muslim Brotherhood and the dilapidated state of the country. In truth, the two events are seen as the consequence of the other one, since the shift toward more radical Islamism is identified as a reason for the worsening situation in the country. The pillars of the revolution against Mubarak were: bread, justice and freedom, it is easy to see that none of these objectives has been achieved by the apparatus of government headed by Mursi, which, in addition to the religious factor is also discredited for not being up to to govern. The facts show that the Egyptians country can distance itself from the common destiny with other nations protagonists of the Arab Spring, which took all of a political sectarian government, betraying the hopes of seeing said a Western model of secular democracy more similar to the systems of ripe ' West of the world. The issue is of prime importance to the role of country driving, that Egypt plays in the Arab world: a reversal in Cairo could create an effect of emulation in the masses of disgruntled nations that inhabit the southern shores of the Mediterranean. It is a possible scenario, but not any time soon, certainly not painless and with possible serious consequences, such as the events of recent days are showing, because the fundamental element in the story is the profound uncertainty about the fate that may occur in the performance of the matter. We must always remember the fundamental role of the Egyptian army, which despite the appointment of Mursi, remains fundamentally secular and stands out as an additional unknown Egyptian scenario, a worsening of the situation of law and order could result in stronger action in one direction or in 'Another of the armed forces, which, at that point, would become the real balance of unlocking the events in a decisive manner.