Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 3 settembre 2013
Religion in the Syrian conflict
One of the reasons that have more competition has lead to the war in Syria is the increased religious rivalry between members of the two main currents of Islam : Shiites and Sunnis. These profound contrasts are reflected in the Arab world and beyond, and prevent the Arab League to play a role unit that could lead to a diplomatic resolution of the crisis shared . All this is compounded by the country's geographical position Syrian , adjoining Israel, which is a source of threat, which Assad , fearing the extension to the whole of the Middle East conflict , use as a deterrent against the United States . The Alawite minority , which as religious belief comes from the Scythians , retains the power to Syria and Iran has right in the village , a theocracy where the Scythians are 90% of the population , its major ally , supported by the radical group Hezbollah to power in Lebanon , which is also composed of Scythians . In the Scythians , who also have tips of extreme radicalism , there seems to be , as regards the Syrian issue , contacts with Al Qaeda, which, indeed , is opposed to the Assad regime alongside the Sunnis. Iran is fully involved in the Syrian war from the beginning, with its fighters who joined the regular troops ; Tehran to Syria is essential , both for cultural ties that geopolitical reasons , since the territory is contiguous to Israel , this means having an open road to the historic enemy and at the same time an area of security that separates the country of Iran from any action that Tel Aviv wants to bring against the Iranian nation . The situation in Iraq , that the fall of Saddam is governed by the Scythians , the majority in the country, is more complicated for the aversion of the Sunni discriminated groups who hold power . The numerous attacks that are battered the country, which has so far avoided a civil war , as evidenced by the social peace within the state is still far from reach . Against the Syrian War deployments religious correspond to the general patterns : the Scythians are with Assad and the Sunnis with the opposition. From Iraq are parties fighters who have gone to swell the opposite sides in the conflict. The Sunnis are placed Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. The first two states said they were immediately in favor of an armed intervention , saying the United States , actually have already provided substantial aid , in collaboration with the Qatar Syrian insurgents . The orientation of these states is to destroy the regime in Damascus , to eliminate the influence of growth on the country , so as to force Iran to a religious and political isolation . The differences of views on the future of the Syrian state are marked with Turkey and Qatar , who are pushing for a religious settlement , which could help to power movements like the Muslim Brotherhood , of which are great supporters in Egypt , and Saudi Arabia want these formations too imbued with religious influences , because they fear contamination within its territory. The problem is that the Sunnis among the ranks of the fighters who have sent in Syria to support the insurgents , there are elements permeated by strong radicalism , also from Afghanistan and Pakistan, often in close contact , if not actually belonging to Al Qaeda, fighting in hopes of creating a caliphate in Syria destined to become a base of Islamism more radical , where politics is identified with the ideas of the terrorist group . If these fighters are numerically a minority , it is equally true that they have a determination that borders on fanaticism and a military training qualified , because, often , developed in the valleys on the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan, those territories are able to hold in check also Soviet armed forces before, and American , then . These presences overshadow the original opponents , the natives who started the rebellion , hoping to establish a form of democracy instead of a dictatorship of Assad. Perhaps the error senior Western was to not understand the original instances and place them in a conviction , a move that could stem the drift that has taken the religious conflict, even if hostilities between Shiites and Sunnis were already present before the of the conflict. This picture of the situation , characterized by a deep religious difference , even within the same confession , is the greatest obstacle to manage the crisis , both from within and outside. Indeed it is difficult to believe that you can reconcile an aversion so deep, caused by religious reasons , with the sole practice of diplomacy , but also a victory determined by the weapons , would result in repression , in both directions , which would trigger further violence , preventing any possible stabilization such as to bring the country to equilibrium. The international negotiators should consider also the possibility of a Syrian dismembered country , to allow for peace , to work for a possible reunification. Divide into three parts the country, a Sunni , a Kurd and a growth could have the result of making settle the conflict and stop the bloodshed . It is not, however, an easily workable solution , because it would oblige Assad to relinquish the sovereignty of a part of the country, while the neighboring powers with the Kurdish area would fear the emergence of a Kurdish state , able to undertake the direction of the creation of the Kurdistan. Problematic is also the necessary dialogue between the Scythian and Sunni religious authorities , who are playing an important role, albeit hidden from the position of the rear, without an agreement between the religious, even with an eventual end of the war , the conflict will remain latent , seamless effective .
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