Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 9 settembre 2013
The U.S. will not attack if Assad will deliver the arsenal of chemical weapons
That proposed by John Kerry is a solution to prevent the attack against Syria , whose implementation is extremely difficult . In essence Assad could avoid military action of the United States hand over the case , with all modes to be defined, the Syrian chemical arsenal . By agreeing to this proposal , Damascus would see substantially reduced its military force potential. Syria should be remembered, is one of seven countries in the world , which has not signed the treaty against chemical weapons and the possession of an arsenal , judged substantial, these weapons has always been one of the strengths of the regime, in order to deter any type of attack by enemy powers . Although I had never made use outside its borders , chemical weapons in the possession of the Syrian state has always played a strategic and geopolitical potential . This feature of the Syrian armed forces has always been considered of great danger from the Pentagon and has become the central point of attack possible that Washington intends to pursue against Damascus . In fact, the use of chemical agents against the U.S. population has sparked fears of possible uses on a larger scale , if at the beginning the reasons for military action were declared as a real punishment and retaliation for the indiscriminate use against individuals fighters , then Obama has made clear that the main reason for a possible attack against Assad is precisely to prevent that both the Syrian dictator , and other international actors intend to make use of chemical weapons. The American attitude that has changed with regard to Assad , since the first one that looked like it wished the fall of the dictator , in the recent one , which speaks clearly of the intention not to enter the Syrian civil war , but only sanction prevent the use of weapons of mass destruction, therefore, is to establish , including through the use of force , the prohibition of chemical weapons. Washington probably thinks to protect its territory and its facilities outside its borders from possible attacks conducted with toxic weapons , which could be brought to fruition by terrorist cells supplied by nations , however, able to produce and maintain these weapons . If the delivery of the arsenals is remote , witnesses , though how true position (which is new ) American non-interference in the Syrian civil war , despite pressure to carry out the attack that Washington receives from some countries of the League Arab , Turkey and the Syrian rebels themselves . The American proposal , although difficult to implement , it shows that an openness to dialogue with Syria is possible and that it is possible to avoid the bombing by the U.S. . Although it is difficult to realize the one proposed by Kerry , could be a starting point on which to start a discussion about where to do the technical work of diplomacy , partly because Obama was dragged from his own threats to act in these terms, but would prefer to avoid a military action , which , moreover, is under the scrutiny of the U.S. parliament . For Assad , however, prevent the bombing would focus more on the domestic front without taking men and means to divert them in defense operations against the United States . Those who should be more concerned about are the countries and movements that relied on Washington to overthrow the regime in Damascus , as now seems clear that the U.S. , at least with this situation of deep fragmentation of the rebel forces , do not intend to commit themselves in contention.
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