Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 18 ottobre 2013
USA: towards the decline of the party system bipolar
With the conclusion of the story of the crisis that has led the United States to the brink of bankruptcy, it now seems an analysis phase for the domestic American politics, with the task for those who do not recognize the area of the tea party and those to it nearby, a phenomenon that also affects the Democrats, to build a common ground so that the world's largest economy is no longer held hostage by extreme feelings. The first data on the number of Republicans in the House who voted against the measure, it is honorable 144 out of a total of 234. So the vast majority of the Republican Party would have been favorable to the default and you can say that almost all of opposites is identified then the area of the Tea Party. The distinctions from the position of complete identification with the movement of the Tea Party, it may be for a few units, which have voted against to avoid upsetting their constituencies, even by thinking in a different way, but the fact remains that the vast majority of opposites supports the conservatism expressed by America deeper. This fact reinforces the indication already noted several times that we are witnessing a sensational, but now ascertained split in the Republican Party, where those who differed only slightly from the Democrats are now in the minority. One reason identified by analysts was the turn to the left of Obama, but, indeed, this judgment seems hasty and misleading to confuse the extension of health care to the greatest number of people with a status setting is risky, if not instrumental and functional the arguments of the Tea Party. In fact, the American president has so far pursued a well-timid economic policy of redistribution, not by following the facts to proclaim election. Rejected this hypothesis, the split Republican to be found within the social fabric where it gained: what has been called America's most profound, nominally tied to the traditions, but unable to progress to a conscious modernity, often mistaken for a corruption of morals , part of a nation conditioned by religious preachers increasingly imbued with fanaticism and governed by politicians allergic to the common good, often identified as an excuse to raise taxes. The election of Obama and his confirmation, you probably have little or nothing to do with the evolution that has led to the increasing influence of the Tea Party, what is in progress is a clash between the U.S. big cities, the urban population and its needs with rural states and fragmented, where the population density is low and is most felt a sense of individualism with respect to a more collective. This fracture has always been present in American society, but the effects of globalization have accentuated in an extreme manner. If the political danger he was the first American system is a domain increasing the Tea Party on the entire Republican Party, there is also the possibility that the Conservative Party will suffer a split. In both cases, with the two-party electoral system calibrated, the effects on governance in the U.S. and could be disastrous if the default could become the norm. With a Republican Party monopolized by the Tea Party would be impossible any dialogue with democratic and therefore any form of collaboration, but also with a fragmentation into three parties, which would result as before the migration to purified by the Tea Party Republicans, Democrats to warmer , will lead to a situation hardly modular numerical order to obtain a government with a large majority and secure. It should also be noted that the upcoming presidential elections a charismatic personality like Obama will not recur and therefore the scenarios will be even more uncertain. The only way forward is for the moment appears to tie the Republicans against excessive intrusiveness of the Tea Party in any way to the Democratic Party, in a sort of big European cartel in the American version. The similarities demonstrated in saving the state could develop dialogue situations characterized by acceptable compromises, even thinking of reforming an electoral system that seems to start its expiry date for the changed conditions of the political system. In any case, the hope for the world is that the moderates prevail: a country ruled by the U.S. Tea Party would be a problem for the global economic and political structures.
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