The developments favorable to Assad, after the signing of the agreement with the UN

In an increasingly dramatic due to the intensification of the fighting , it was an agreement between the Government of the Syrian Assad and the UN for the establishment of humanitarian corridors , which would allow medical aid to the population and food supplies , and for the liberation of the civilians in the areas around Homs , the city controlled by the rebels and placed under siege by the regular armed forces . The city is considered the capital of the revolution is paying a high toll in human lives due to the bombing of which is made ​​the subject of aviation Assad, who hits her with the launch of explosive barrels . If you come into force this will be the first agreement signed by the humanitarian regime. Must be taken all the necessary precautions , as Damascus has often proved unreliable , as evidenced by the story of the disposal of chemical weapons , which would have affected at the moment about 4 % of the entire arsenal. The signature of this Agreement may mean that the regime think about alternative situations that victory and start to prepare exit strategies different , both in front of the enemy forces , that in the face of international public opinion . In both cases, the goal would be to gain positions and greater bargaining power at a later stage of the negotiations for the stabilization of the situation . It is clear that the Assad regime needs to rebuild itself , at least in part and as far as possible , a new film to be presentable , although it will be impossible to forget the evidence of torture and the use of chemical weapons. At this time the sanitary conditions of the country , but particularly in the area of Homs are appalling and are compounded by a lack of food such that there have been several deaths from starvation . Of course, the groups most affected are the most vulnerable and makes an impression of the high number of casualties among children. The overall situation of the country, from the military point of view , is fragmented : the regular forces , backed by Hezbollah have regained some rebel strongholds in the east of Aleppo and controls the western coast of Syria and the capital Damascus, although not in all its totality, where fighting continues in the suburbs. The northeastern part is controlled instead by Sunni fundamentalists , who are under the banner of the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant , who are accused of abuse by many and whose presence affects the aid of the Western powers to the rebels Democrats , those that control the area of Homs . This picture has prompted the analysis of Kerry , according to which the regime can no longer win. However, just the advance of the Sunni fundamentalist forces , seems at the moment, the best ally of Assad , in fact this scenario is the most feared right from the Western countries , who fear the establishment of a caliphate , that the areas of the north east of the country is able to break with Syria , including Iraq , to establish a state where sharia law is the fundamental law , and that, therefore, may be an example for other parts of the Arab world. In addition to this potential would have been fertile ground Al Qaeda , which could implant of its bases so undisturbed . As you can see this scenario would be catastrophic for the U.S. and its allies and could open up opportunities that Assad would like to take and that could explain the signing of the agreement in favor of humanitarian aid. It should be remembered that the hypothesis of a Sunni Islamic state is certainly unwelcome to Iran and also in Moscow, the first because it would see the triumph of the current religious side, the second because it could be involved in the increase of Islamic terrorism in the countries of Caucasus . These aspects help to push for a win-win situation for Assad, who in the absence of an external military involvement on the ground of Syria, is still the surest bulwark against Islamic fundamentalist drift . The position of Damascus could then strengthen further if it came to a compromise agreement with the democratic opposition , which could lead to a transitional government . This element would allow Assad to gain more time to regroup and earn at least one output is not cruel to himself and the people close to him , as a minimum , and may , under certain circumstances , be an occasion to fall in the country's political , as the best possible option.