American options to react to Russia

Faced with the maneuvers of Russia in the Crimea , which are likely to widen immediately contiguous to the territory of Ukraine , Moscow seems to have a very broad scope , especially in relation to other international actors. The United States , which appear to the major antagonists of Russia, seem to have been caught by surprise by activism Putin . Probably the White House believed that everything could be solved by the riots in the streets and, perhaps, with a diplomatic negotiation from afar. The action desired by the Kremlin has disrupted the scenario in which they had prepared the United States, who have found themselves without a visual alternative future . This lack of preparation has put the U.S. in a position of weakness overt , that Putin had to be well calculated and planned. Now Obama , he has to register yet another setback in the international arena , there are only diplomatic measures and economic threats . Not being able to use scenario the Russian military in response to the action , if not with a presence, potentially hazardous to vessels inside the Black Sea , taking advantage of the alliance of Turkey, Americans must rely entirely on paper diplomatic isolation . The first proposed measure will be the cancellation of the G8 Summit to be held in Sochi, Russian territory , in the month of June, the suspension has already been approved by , as well as from the U.S., Canada , Japan, Germany , Britain, France and Italy . This could be the final preparatory exclusion of Russia from the G8 , resulting in a very serious international isolation for Moscow. This decision could be anticipated by economic sanctions and suspension of visas for Russian diplomat . To the Secretary of State , Kerry, it is important to give a coordinated response by the international community in favor of support to the country of Ukraine. This freezing of relations between Washington and Moscow is likely , however, to have a very negative impact on the peace process that seeks to establish in different parts of the world. They would become a threat to the negotiations on the Syrian issue and also talks to the Iranian nuclear issue, negating the enormous efforts made so far. If on the Iranian issue could advance the same even without the Russians , Syria is unthinkable to find shared solutions without Moscow. It is possible that for this reason , it is one of those that led Putin to move his troops without fear of too much international reaction . However, if in the short term , Russia will emerge as winner under the showdown implementation , which are not possible international responses appropriate and on the same content , it will be necessary to verify the effects of the measures that it will experience . If the optical prior moves of the U.S. and the EU, have been inadequate and have not averted armed intervention , within a framework of reaction there may be some measures which introduce, in a wider span of time , a progressive isolation , that Russia would lead to certain conditions which are not positive . But Washington's actions are likely to be thwarted by exigent circumstances : first, as already mentioned, concerns the necessity of the presence of Russia for the peace negotiations in progress , the second is given by the dependence of different EU countries , especially those easternmost , which are linked to Moscow for their energy needs. This latter circumstance could split the already fragile unity of the EU in foreign policy and thus remove an important ally for the U.S. . What is certain is that a new edition of the bipolar US-Soviet , the new version of the US-Russia , it seems highly unlikely in today's world characterized by globalization and a multipolar structure strongly , so it will be crucial to the ability to thicken around several reasons third states , which for now , they have been reluctant to act. Very important will want to take the position that countries such as China, Brazil , India and organizations like the Arab League. The prevailing doctrine in foreign policy for China has always been not to accept involvement in the internal affairs of a country , so it will be necessary to see what the evaluation will be given to the intervention in the Crimea , which is technically an invasion of Russia in the territory Ukrainian . Beijing , however, could consider the reasons the Russians as legitimate and continue to support Moscow, so far as it did in the headquarters of the UN Security Council , with the strategic intent to limit American influence . It must also consider the previous analogous to the situation today , when Russia invaded Georgia on very similar to the current maneuver. Even then, Washington's reaction did not solve anything , and relations between the two countries resumed , although conditioned by mutual distrust . Now, however , the direct interest in the question of Ukraine by the EU and especially in Germany, came to the determination to curb Russian influence just by the Member States, should take on a different significance to the story . It remains to recall the strategic aspect , globally, the presence of the pipelines on the territory of Kiev , which add a key reason to geopolitical issues . So are many variables in the field and for the solution of the crisis, much will depend on what attitude to Putin decides to take in the rest of the story .