Russia's strategy to emerge from isolation and maintain its objectives

The Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov , confirmed Moscow's willingness to participate in negotiations on the issue of Ukraine , with the U.S. and the EU , but also suggesting the participation of the Russian-speaking regions , east of Kiev, where tension remains high for contrasts and clashes between the Ukrainian authorities and the formations that are aimed at a union with Russia. These areas are less tied , also historically in Moscow, to a lesser penetration of the Russian-speaking population , balanced by a considerable presence of Ukrainians . These are regions where the influence , even cultural , Moscow is lower, however, behind the uprisings , that in order to remove these areas from the country of Ukraine can not be an attempt modeled on that of the Crimea. Crushed by international condemnation and even sanctions , Moscow seeks to accredit in an official representatives of the pro-Russian movements to the negotiating table in order to provide a relevant international parties who are obviously lacking . The tactics of Russia , at this moment is to stop the military action and leave the place to the international negotiations to clean up the country's image and be able to circumvent the international ostracism , leading to the negotiating table instances of nations that Moscow defended . Unlikely , however, these proposals will be accepted by the West and by the same Ukraine , which saw violated its territorial integrity and is concerned that this attempt yet another abuse of power on the part of the Russians. Without the presence of the representatives of the Russian-speaking eastern territories of Ukraine, if Russia will sit at the table diplomat , will do so in extreme loneliness , reason why the negotiations are likely to fail even before you begin. This possibility could be a tactic designed desk to allow Moscow to claim to have proposed solutions not accepted by Western interlocutors and then reject these countries the responsibility for the failure of negotiations. This , however, could allow Russia to gain time to organize a further invasion of the territory of Ukraine in the east , where , among other things, there are mineral deposits. Meanwhile, in the regions of the pro-Russian Ukrainian government has launched an anti-terrorist operation , which is specifically aimed at discouraging any coups on the type of Crimea. The protection of government buildings and barracks is at the center of this operation , which has sparked protests in Moscow, which interprets it as a measure against the pro-Russian . This aspect could cause new reactions on the part of Russia, as in the Ukrainian regions resend the military without identifying marks , but easily traceable to the Russian military forces. The situation , as we see, has again made ​​dangerous by the continuing dangers of degeneration of the comparison. With this scenario also an accident , not unlikely, could contribute to the explosion of riots far more important , that would endanger the peace process difficult . The feeling , however , that Moscow seeks to dismiss these possibilities, at least immediately, to repurchase an international profile more acceptable . The Kremlin can not , however, give the impression of retreat too , if the goal has now reached the Crimea , the feeling of firm stance for the protection of pro-Russian populations of the eastern regions must not be less . A completely different story is if this will actually be followed by concrete facts : Moscow could get the second goal that was set : the neutrality of Ukraine and together forms of protection for the Russian-speaking positions , taking a more conciliatory stance during the negotiations and withdrawing its forces from the borders . Doing so could bring home the desired results along with a state of resumption of contacts with the U.S. and the West , also in view of the resumption of negotiations on the Syrian issue and the Iranian nuclear issue. These issues , in fact , would allow Russia to maintain a central role in international relations , which at this time has failed for the story of the invasion of the Crimea. For Putin more than economic sanctions , though frowned upon by the oligarchs for their immediate effects , the lack of international significance very detrimental to the image of a superpower that wants to give to the country. Must be , in fact , this will have to use the lever that most Western countries , to bring the situation to stability.