The reaction of Kiev and the international isolation Russian

The counterattack of Ukraine, to defend his eastern territory , threatened by Russia , which seeks to re-apply the scheme Crimea, appears as an understandable reaction , although fraught with dangerous consequences. Moscow says that behind the escalation of Kiev there is nothing more than Washington ; This may be true, but if the U.S. decided to act in this way they have done for the excessive deployment of forces in the Kremlin near the Ukrainian border . It is in a story where everyone seems to contribute to err or, conversely, do everything to precipitate the situation. Russia after taking the Crimea subtly , through the justification of a referendum farce , you are not satisfied , despite the declarations of intent different from their own behavior and has continued its program of dismemberment of Ukraine. Kiev can not allow such a development of the situation and was forced into action. However, the disparity of forces is such that the Russian military victory , in the unlikely event of a conflict , it is practically certain. For Kiev reaction also means compel the international community , especially the EU hesitant , he finally openly siding against Russian oppression . But the diplomatic reasons could not support anything without somehow assured by the United States , which , in addition to responding to its own geopolitical reasons , they must also cope with the atavistic fears of the countries of Eastern Europe came to be part of NATO. The Baltic countries , Poland , Romania and Hungary, have long feared a kind of revival of the Russian Bear , who has never lost the prerogatives of the expansionist Soviet times . The central argument of Putin's policy is to bring Russia to the rank of major world power as it was for the USSR . The sense of encirclement of Moscow has developed a reaction against the old Warsaw Pact allies and the fear that Ukraine also came to be part of the Atlantic alliance has resulted in the design of Ukrainian divide the country on the basis of the presence of the Russian-speaking populations . While there was probably an inspiration in street demonstrations against the government of Yanukovych's pro-Russian , it is logical that after the occupations of buildings in the Ukrainian power in the eastern territories there is Russia. The current response of Ukraine, though, maybe it was not calculated ; Moscow thought that Kiev would never have passed from the threats of intervention to the implementation of the same. Putin, waging a fight rearguard , who ran the pro-Russian organizations have probably thought it was enough for the repetition of the pattern that has allowed him to take the Crimea. Missed this constant with the variable Ukrainian , favored by the smaller presence than the supporters of pro Crimea Russia , Moscow is now faced with the difficult choice to respond in turn or to withdraw from the contest . It is a question difficult to answer , for the first virtually complete international isolation in which it is Russia. In the meeting convened an emergency, the same Kremlin Security Council of the UN, for the worsening of the Ukrainian issue , Russia is only to support his theory , in the face of Western powers compact and neutrality of China, which does not deviate an inch from his usual line of conduct , which does not require any interference in the internal affairs of individual nations. If Russia decides to intervene militarily should meet a range of reactions ranging from economic sanctions heavier , up to the possibility of armed conflict with NATO, recalled by the former communist countries. Conversely, if Putin does not intervene for moral and political defeat would have obvious implications for internal political situation in a severely limited as that of Russia. Once again, the immediate solution does not exist, but we need to do to settle the situation by allowing the Kiev government to take full control and sovereignty over its territory , and then initiate a reform of the state in a federalist direction , which can safeguard the difference in the country without offending the central government . But it is said that this solution is acceptable to the drawings and geopolitical aims of who is really behind the question : Russia and the United States.