Politica Internazionale

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martedì 1 luglio 2014

Issues related to the birth of the caliphate in Iraq and Syria

The two main problems related to the formation of extremist caliphate, who wants to unite the eastern territories of Syria and those of Iraq, affecting the safety and growth of western power, prestige and therefore the danger that ISIS is gaining in military and political power, which has become sufficient to overcome Al Qaeda. In fact, the main Islamic terrorist organization seems to have been overtaken by the project carried out by Abu Bakr Al Baghdadi, which includes a more ambitious vision, with the construction of an Islamic state in all respects. Al Qaeda, while hoping such a popular destination, it has never gone beyond the organization of acts for the most destabilizing of existing states, without ever assume effective control, if not partial areas and for a limited time. Certainly in the galaxy of Islamic terrorism Al Qaeda retains its area of ​​influence, but has been overtaken materially from the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant, which has been able to seize the opportunities of the Syrian War and the contrasts within the country of Iraq, with a planning put into practice in a successful way. The Islamic entity that is forming, even if it is defeated, it represents a challenge of this level and media impact capable of catalyzing the entire Islamic fundamentalist movement of the Sunni matrix, aggregating a critical mass potentially uncontrollable, with harmful effects on the stability of the Western . The other dangerous aspect to the world balance and deeply connected with the development of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant is the broad participation of foreign fighters, often with regular European passports and citizenship of the countries of the West. It is hardened fighters in battles and with a harsh military training, which goes beyond the mere fanatical follower; are also characterized by a strong motivation for the ideal extremist. As one can easily understand the danger of isolated actions carried out by these people in Western countries is highly practical and is facilitated by the backwardness of the safety systems that would be provided with partial lists. The problem is not only the West but also Russia, the Caucasus, where separatists have made a great contribution to the formation of Sunni fighters and they can apply the experience gained against Moscow. Less threatening Iran is certainly protected by its own Shia, which makes it a direct rival Sunnis. Even the Arab countries, which have financed the Sunni formations might be concerned by this emerging phenomenon, although the highly illiberal control of the internal border, makes it more problematic in any action against the established power. In any case, the priority at this time is to prevent the caliphate is formed, although this eventuality will certainly be used as a ground for further advertising against Western invasion. The first step must be to restore order and sovereignty in Iraq involving moderate Sunnis in power to regain lost ground on the sovereignty of the institutions; but this could be an emergency solution if found incompatibility between the three components that make up the country's Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds. In this case study a better division of the country into three regions, or even into three autonomous states, m always under the control of an international force to prevent the resumption of power by extremists. This discourse implies favoring the ruling class, or three ruling classes of moderate nature, inclined to a collaboration necessary to take off the state entity capable of overcoming the current set-Iraqi, who can guarantee their own stability and together ensure the West by fundamentalist tendencies. It was the program that was to be developed by the Americans in their misguided attempt to export democracy.

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