Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 4 luglio 2014
The rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the U.S., which is essential for the balance of Iraqis
The dissolution of the Iraqi armed forces, who have dropped out, with about 2,500 staff, the border area with Saudi Arabia, has led to the deployment of about 30,000 soldiers in Riyadh
Along the border with Iraq. It is a border about 800 kilometers long, which may have several weaknesses to penetrate into Saudi territory by forces of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant. Despite being a remote possibility for the disparity of forces in the field and for the determination of the armed forces of Saudi Arabia, who are not in danger of dissolution regarding the Iraqi, the arrangement represents to perfection as the Saudi government does not underestimate the threat Islamic fundamentalists, now outside of any international control. In fact, the social fabric Arabia, placed under a strict control by the central government, should not be a suitable culture medium to understand the demands of the jihadists. Saudi Arabia applies a strict application of Islamic law and the majority of the population is Sunni matrix, the only demonstrations against the regime came from the minority growth, which, however, is not willing to ally with Sunni fundamentalists, not even to raise the social status discriminated against in Saudi Arabia. The one who fears Riyadh is a dangerous proximity to the extremists of the Islamic state of Iraq and the Levant, which could make isolated demonstrations against the Saudi territory. This situation has, however, an important aspect of foreign policy in the region, providing a real opportunity for rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and the United States, whose relations have long been tense for the growing proximity to Washington with Tehran. The two governments, through a telephone conversation took place between their leaders have agreed on the urgent need to find immediate agreement that knows how to encourage the formation of a national unity government in the state of Iraq. Both countries are opposed to the division of the state of Iraq, which could favor the formation of a separate state growth, which would ultimately inevitable under the control of Iran. This possibility could subvert the current regional balance to the detriment of the Saudis. The American favor maintaining the status quo could be a fruitful meeting ground for a renewed partnership between Saudi Arabia and the United States, precisely on the basis of an alliance against the advancing army of the Islamic state of Iraq and Levante. In the past, the deep division on the action to be taken against Assad has led to different strategies, often opposite between the two countries, which have contributed to removal of the two allies. Loans and supplies in weapons and materials from Arabia have gone to a greater extent towards fundamentalist formations, some of which, presumably, formed the basis of what has now become the Islamic state of Iraq and the Levant. It should be remembered that the easy penetration of this organization in Iraqi territory, it was a goal well known and, apart from not being challenged enough, was favored by an American attitude to say the least amateurish about the management of the withdrawal of its armed forces, joint a policy for the whole of the Scythians not adequately controlled by Washington. The reason for this should be seen in the campaign promises of Obama and, perhaps, in trying to please Tehran in view of collaboration for the atomic matter. So to try to achieve other goals, has lost sight of the overall picture, and its overall impact on the international scene, the effects of the direction taken by the internal politics of Iraq. The current situation is therefore not the daughter of a co-ordinated action between allies and a disastrous domestic policy, which eliminated the Sunnis from participating in the control of the country. A renewed agreement between Saudis and Americans is an essential condition to return the territories of the country under its sovereignty, but this is only the initial condition for the stabilization of Iraq, from which it can derive part of the responsibility of regional balance.
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