Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 16 luglio 2014
The wrong tactics of Israel and Hamas
Drama at the base of the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, there are, on the contrary, two visions myopic focus on short-term outlook. In fact, both the tactics of Israel, that Hamas will bring results, both sides may feel favorable or useful in the short term, but they will produce, inevitably very negative effects on the long term. Tel Aviv, which stands out for its fierce repression based on the denial of the most elementary rights of the civilian population, killing and destroying indiscriminately the already weakened social fabric of Gaza, he is going towards the blame and the resulting international isolation, already initiated by the diplomatic community for resistance to the peace process. What is perceived is that the country is exploiting an Israeli inauspicious event for fielding a long repression conceived and designed; speculation in Tel Aviv, will not produce, however, only the censorship of foreign countries but encourage the growth of Islamic fundamentalism, which will once again be in the situation the Palestinian excuse effective to thicken fundamentalist movements on the favor of the masses of the Arab countries. This is the most logical conclusion of a process that began with the rejection of negotiations on the peace process, despite the good will of Abu Mazen, and ended with a bloody repression of Gaza. At the same time the exasperation of the Palestinians has surpassed even the support for Hamas, and headed for positions even more extremist Muslim formations, which have very close ties with the army of the Islamic state of Iraq and the Levant. It should be remembered that the militias are on the border of the caliphate of Jordan and an objective of the new entity is just to subdue, if not all, at least part of the state on the border with Israel. The hope that comes from desperation, many Palestinians is that this possibility becomes a reality and that Israel is suffering from the eastern side. This perspective, in the sign of worse the better, it is suicide for Hamas, because it would be overridden in extreme positions and lose influence over the Gaza Strip. This explains why, as a desperate strategy to recover approval, refusal to negotiations with Israel, the leaders of the organization have defined it as a surrender. We understand that these calculations are made on the political and military skin of Palestinians forced to endure the suicide tactics of Hamas, which, at the same time, it provides the justification for Israel to rage on an area already severely tried. Behind the situation, all evolving, moving diplomacy almost absent, which is characterized by inefficiency and stagnation. Egypt's role is greatly reduced because of the distrust of Hamas, linked to the Muslim Brotherhood and then opposed by Cairo, also due to the destruction of the tunnel between the two countries, which were the main source for the economy of Gaza. Hamas has requested the intervention of Turkey and Qatar, which it considers the most reliable for their cause and that they should play an important role for a possible cease-fire. The U.S. continues with a line of uncertainty, which confirms all the weakness of the Obama administration in the international arena, divided between the pressures of American Jews, the moral obligation to stop the carnage of their allies, and the failure of the policy of the two states on the the same territory. The EU once again demonstrates its fragility due to lack of international and Community instruments divisions among its members. In the international political, therefore, where you do not see an effective plan to combat the deterioration of the situation, by any relevant actor, looming the most favorable conditions for a situation outside of any control, which could promote extreme actions one part and the other part. The consequences for regional stability, would be permanently impaired and should be to affect the world, especially if linked to the state of extreme instability throughout the Middle East. Too many actors in the field have no moderation in their quality, and this makes the Middle East a powder keg ready to explode.
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