Politica Internazionale

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mercoledì 27 agosto 2014

Who won in Gaza?

The truce in Gaza puts an end to 50 days of fighting, with more than 2,000 casualties among Palestinians, mostly civilians, and 70 among Israelis. Both parties have to stop this conflict victoriously, but in reality it does not seem that there is a winner that can boast a net. Certainly on the military, but it could not be otherwise, Israel has dealt a severe blow to the military structure of Hamas, destroying about 30% of its missile arsenal, damaged irreparably a large number of tunnels that led deep into Israeli territory and decimating substantially fighters. However, the losses suffered by Israel speak of as many as 64 soldiers, a considerable figure not seen since 2006, in the war with Lebanon. But the result only serves military relatively, much more important are the reflections that determines within their respective camps. Netanyahu's party with a high internal approval and concluded the conflict with an index lower, due to different reasons; right to refuse any dialogue with Hamas, even if winners, from left is feared, on the contrary, that the negotiations with Hamas has legitimized the extremist movement to the detriment of the faction led by Abu Mazen. But the most negative result, for the Israeli government, is the international condemnation, and its isolation, but also the strong tension with Washington. One can safely say that this is the lowest point for relations between the two countries, a topic that Israel will have to deal with the United States as a point of departure is not certain strength. The importance of re-establishing relationships characterized by a close relationship with the American government is essential for the country of Israel, in the light of the scenario that is developing in the Middle East, where the balances are constantly evolving, from the reports of the United States with the countries of the Persian Gulf, Iran, and those with the disturbing presence of the subject of the emerging caliphate. For now, the Israeli government can boast a very strong partnership with Egypt, which has gained a leading role on the international stage, guiding the negotiations between the two parties. Cairo, as Tel Aviv, is interested in eradicating everything that is the bearer of Muslim extremism, but was able to lead a difficult negotiation despite Hamas is an ally of the Muslim Brotherhood. Despite this particular, Egypt has managed to mediate between two parties, where one was in close contact with the movement outlawed by the government of Al Sisi, gaining a remarkable achievement, something that can not make up the prestige. Cairo this statement means the rehabilitation of the image of the government, impeached for the repression that followed the dismissal of Mursi and determines as one of the real winners of the war in Gaza. On the Palestinian side, Hamas, despite all the proclamations of victory, downsized out in appreciation of the social fabric of the Strip, because of too many civilian casualties, due to the use of social housing as military arsenals. The accused Israel of using human shields by Hamas, Tel Aviv does not excuse the methods used, but it is true. However, the accusations directed at the government of Netanyahu by the Israeli right and the left are justified: from almost total isolation, Hamas was supported only by Turkey and Qatar, negotiations with Israel are an indirect legitimisation of what the Israeli government considers equal to the terrorists of the state of Iraq and the Levant. It remains to be seen whether this new political weight will be enough to counter the growing of Abu Mazen, who during the crisis has been spent for a solution in favor of civilians, becoming legitimate as a guide to all the Palestinian people. It is significant that donations for the reconstruction of Gaza have been made to the president of the Palestinian Authority rather than Hamas. Now, if Israel is actually interested in the peace process and the resumption of the American project of the two states, can not be separated from Abu Mazen, who is the personality that comes out more reinforced by the tragic events in Gaza.

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