Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 2 ottobre 2014

The paradoxes of diplomatic relations in the war on Islamic state

The war on Caliphate is creating a series of paradoxes diplomats, that in order to achieve the final victory could be suspended, but that will come back regularly as binding problems for regional stability, if the Islamic state will be defeated. These paradoxes are forcing countries crossed by rivalry rather deep collaborations forced by the need to unite against the effects and developments that a definitive establishment of the caliphate could generate. The alliance was formed against the fundamentalists already works in part in an official manner, both unofficially and sees enemies fight side by side that were historically divided. The cooperation between Iran and the USA is the most striking example, representatives of the two countries work together to make it official this time without covenant not to compromise their international relations and not to alter the internal balance; However, the state of necessity has forced to official meetings, that were not even thinkable, as in the case of the bilateral meeting between the foreign ministers of Iran and Saudi Arabia. The fundamental contribution of Kurdish fighters, so they hope to finally achieve a homeland, was joined on the battlefield by Iranian troops and Iraqi army, armed forces, which in the past have always worked too fierce repression against to crack down on Kurdish ambitions for independence. Turkey, which continues to oppose the creation of a Kurdish state, even far beyond its borders, is working in difficult conditions its a great humanitarian work in favor of the Syrian Kurds, who flee from advancing fighters of the Islamic state. Israel, hated, formally, to all the Sunni Arab states, and in particular the way to Turkey and Iran, is collaborating with the United States, but indirectly with members of the Islamist coalition, through the control of the territory occupied by forces of the Islamic state, through its network of satellites, it also believes that it may intervene directly in the conflict, in the case of the caliphate intends to attack Jordan, its main ally and territory particularly favorable to endanger the security of the Israeli state. This common danger, however, does not smooth the distance between Tel Aviv and Tehran on the nuclear issue, the subject still raises particular alarm in Israel, both in its interior, which allied with the United States, which, in contrast, aims to reach an agreement with Iran and accordingly undertake with the Iranian state relations more relaxed. Very important is also the issue that concerns the fate of Syria and Assad. At this time the focus is the entry into the conflict turkish Army, one million strong workforce, with a cutting-edge weaponry: Ankara feels threatened by the presence of the forces of the caliphate now present on its borders and the parliament turkish is deciding entry into Syria, even to solve the problem of Syrian refugees who have fled its territory, whose size is becoming unmanageable for Ankara; this decision could accelerate the defeat of the Islamic state, objectively inferior in front of an opponent so hard on the ground, but would trigger the opposition of the regime in Damascus, which is strongly disliked in Ankara and could generate an Iranian reaction, especially of a political nature not to comply with the American wishes. In the intentions of Washington is not expected the restoration of the Assad government, but favor the rise of the democratic opposition; this direction is opposed by Turkey and Saudi Arabia would prefer an e-government marked by a more moderate Islam, however, the two countries are divided by opinion groups like the Muslim Brotherhood, disliked by the Saudis. As you can see, beyond the network of alliances created, there are still so deep and difficult to overcome differences among its members, that the eventual defeat of the caliphate that will open a series of subsequent litigation that will work to international diplomacy for a long time, and in a special way to the American one, which will be called upon to decide on the verge of explosive situations always a balancing act is not easy to maintain.

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