Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 28 ottobre 2014
Tunisia to the affirmation of the secular parties
If, as seems likely, the Tunisian elections confirm the data of the examination of the first districts, once again the North African country, which had started the Arab Spring, to expand, to neighboring countries, will be an important example on the political mood of the southern Mediterranean. After three years of rule of the Islamist party in power, the state of the country, both in terms of social, political, economic, and seemed much worse, so much to do regret the deposed dictator Ben Ali. They had replicated the conditions in other countries of North Africa, where the ruling party, inspired by Islam, he wanted to establish a system of government based on religion in a nation of the most secular of the Arab world, where these precepts could not take root and be accepted in a passive way. Al Nahda, the Islamist movement in the government, has led a radical policy against the culture, denying human rights to the opponents and creating the conditions for an unprecedented economic crisis, caused by wrong choices, exacerbated by an increase in corruption, in a general framework high inflation, which caused probably the biggest rise in the price level in the country, squeezing the purchasing power of wages already far higher. Even the inclusion in the political life of people linked to the Salafist world, has further exasperated the minds, a secular opposition, but deeply divided, that he had not known until then, join around a common idea development for the country, free of religious influence. The most unifying factor was the growing unease that has developed in Tunisian society, increasingly impatient with a policy geared to the connection too, almost symbiotic element of political, administrative and religious. He then created a short circuit between civil society and the ruling class, which, contrary to what happened in other countries, such as Egypt seems to be resolved in a democratic way and not bloody. It should be remembered that Al Nahda had felt this discomfort and decided to isolate the elements Salafis, to establish a dialogue with civil society, in the context of what is proposed on the campaign trail, where the factor of national unity has been used not to go out by the government of the country. The secular forces have, however, chosen a union marked by the rejection of the intrusiveness of religion with the administration of the country, overcoming their differences on the political level, which made it possible to build a voting bloc made up of representatives of the left, center and right, with the help of members of the government of Ben Ali. If you plan on political developments in the democratic sense, one can only look back with satisfaction to the possible emergence of secular forces in an Arab country, which can be a solution for inspiration for other countries in the same time you can not not see how the fragmentation of the secular forces, even within the same group can not constitute a weakness for the nascent Tunisian government as possible; and the participation of people compromise with the old regime does not represent a guarantee for the preservation of a secular government against criticism of Islamist parties, some more cohesive in them, despite evidence of their practical inability of the executive. Tunisia takes a step forward in the management of its internal affairs in a perfectly amenable to a democratic process, which the West had hoped you would tune all the countries of the Arab Spring, which, on the contrary, they encountered a drift equally illiberal religious, like regimes that they replaced. It would be an error of judgment, however, the trial judge regarding Tunisia fully started to democracy fully complete, but at the moment is the situation that is closest to the hopes of the West. But the fragility with which the new government should be born, just based on deep political divisions, is likely to bring to the fore the religious movements; the testing of Tunis is very difficult if the coalition parties will be able to set aside individual political views in order to assert the supremacy of the secular system will achieve unprecedented success, which will be set out in a future electoral competition, where any force can not win it will be because expression of a religious viewpoint, but a political project of any secular orientation.
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