The Palestinian diplomatic strategies

Palestine intends to start with a diplomatic offensive against Israel, able to take advantage of the good preparation that is developing in Europe on the subject of the recognition of the Palestinian state as a sovereign state. While these initiatives have no practical effect, the decisions of some parliaments of the old continent to recognize the Palestinian state, are aggravating the state of international isolation of Israel and undermine the strong public image on the diplomatic scene. For Palestinians, disappointed by the efforts of the United States more and more futile, who failed to impose in Tel Aviv the two-state solution on the same territory, the solution to practice the way of international organizations, seems to have become a choice practically forced . The main intention is to present to the UN a text destined to become a possible resolution of the Security Council. The probability that this initiative will be successful is practically nil, for the veto that the US will put almost surely, despite the White House agrees to a great part of the reasons Palestinians. But at this stage of the US strategy is to wait for the outcome of the election, which in case of defeat to Netanyahu, open up considerable opportunities for negotiation in the direction desired by Washington and even by the Palestinians themselves. Sure otherwise the US could not have any more excuse to continue to put in the attitude of vetoes in the Security Council to protect Israel, whatever he does. A Netanyahu victory would open in American society and its political class much heated debate, as to open deep divisions and lacerations in the political fabric of the country, and it is on these considerations is based the attitude of waiting for the Obama administration. However, the Palestinians have decided to go ahead anyway, even for the mere fact of forcing Israel to a growing international isolation. The project should contain the request for withdrawal from areas occupied illegally, the so-called colonies or settlements, but it is unknown if contained an expiration date, that some forecasts point in two years. This solution is obviously opposed by Netanyahu, even more strongly in this period when the country joined the Israeli election campaign; the thesis of the premier of Tel Aviv is that withdrawal from the occupied territories in violation of the agreements of 1967, could only encourage the entry of terrorists from within Israel; as we see it is a thesis that should awaken the fears of the population and together maintain control over settlements. Reasons are in part actually shared by Netanyahu and partly exasperated to collect as many votes as possible by the nationalist right and how many oppose an agreement with the Palestinians. It is considered possible that the United States itself can submit their text, but this possibility appears at odds with the expectation of the Israeli election result, which at the moment seems to be central to the American strategy. The Palestinians, meanwhile, not only focus their action on the Security Council, other initiatives will be side by side. One concerns the intention of being admitted to the UN as a full member, and not just as an observer country, if this happens Palestine might ask to be part of the Security Council the first upcoming maturity of a current non-permanent member. This operation has no chance of success for sure that the US veto would place on the issue, but would bring to the fore the issue of a removal of a country supported, probably in large numbers by the assembly. Another step is to study the Palestinian diplomatic offensive for some time and concerns the possibility that Palestine to accede to the International Criminal Court and the courts cite Israel for crimes committed in Gaza; it would be a possibility lethal to Tel Aviv, which would almost certainly destined to a conviction. This choice is kept almost as ultimate weapon by the Palestinians, who, at the time they prefer not to subject Israel to such pressure, even for Netanyahu to avoid providing further evidence in his favor in the election campaign. It is more likely the possibility that Palestine Assembly submit a non-binding resolution condemning Israeli settlements in the West Bank, which would constitute a symbolic measure and void, but destined to collect a broad consensus in the Assembly of the United Nations, where it is expected the instrument of veto as in the security Council.