Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 22 dicembre 2014
Tunisia has a new president
Tunisia, the country that has given rise to all the Arab Spring, was confirmed as a significant policy exception in the landscape of the Arab world. In this nation, in fact, although present a segment of the population that relies closer observance of Islam, the success of the political formations of religious inspiration has remained a minority, compared with secular parties. This trend, already highlighted by the recent legislative elections, it is also confirmed in the presidential election. The announced victory Essebsi, although not yet confirmed by official data, should lead to the office of President of the Republic a personality who has repeatedly expressed its opposition to Islamist movements, especially the most fundamentalist. If, on the one hand, this characteristic, of what will likely be the new head of state of Tunisia, is an important guarantee for the sectors of the country and also to lay the Western nations, especially those bordering the Mediterranean, could represent a contraindication to manage that part of the social fabric of the country, which refers to Islamic values, through attendance at places of worship and religious movements. The risk is that the non-satisfaction of the Islamists to become an element that could endanger the stability of the country: in essence what is feared is that religious propaganda gives greater importance to extremist groups, compared to the more moderate. In Tunisia, despite the widespread dislike of the company to the most fundamentalist vision of Islam, Salafi groups and jihadis are not absent and their discontent could result in terrorism. These groups must already handle the disappointment for not having brought the Algerian revolution to an evolution in the religious sense, as in Libya and Egypt, and the election of a President so averse may be a reason to trigger forms of rebellion against the new leadership; Essebsi also because he was part of the government of ousted dictator Ben Ali and the same local commentators present it as a used safely. What is missing is a sign of rupture with the past, why could allow opponents of the future president, easy criticism. It should be remembered also that the moderate Islamist Ennahda party has nominated candidates for the presidency. This waiver may be interpreted in two ways: the first is the expression of tacit support to a candidate capable of defeating the most extreme religious part, that gives an advantage to the more moderate, the second, conversely, can mean not endorse any address not to clash with any party. The fact remains that the new president will have to engage in the dialectic institutional moderate movement, as a factor that can contribute to the management of the relationship between secular institutions and religious world. Also because Ennahda, which won the first elections after the fall of the dictatorship, has left the management of the government to a group of technocrats, to promote the stability of the process towards democracy and ensuring, therefore, with his attitude the transition of power . While remaining an anomaly in the Arab political landscape, Tunisia's distinguished by the presence of members or sympathizers to Islamist terrorist groups are very motivated and in fact many are Tunisian nationals who are enrolled abroad in formations of fighters of the fundamentalist matrix. This presence is one that most worry the government, for the evolution in the sense that a terrorist could take. Another emergency in the country is made up of the economic situation, the resolution of which could facilitate very precisely the problem of religious extremism.
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