Politica Internazionale

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venerdì 9 gennaio 2015

Boko-Haram should not be underestimated

In conjunction with the twelve victims in Paris, Islamic fundamentalism has killed at least two thousand people in the northeastern part of Nigeria, a country that suffers repeated militia attacks of Boko-Haram. The center of the attack took place in the city of Baga, on the shores of Lake Chad, where the episodes were repeated twice in less than a week. The carnage was favored by the conquest of a military base, which resulted in the escape of the military during the first attack, leaving the defenseless town. The intensity of the cruelty of the action carried out by Islamic militants covered the looting and the burning of villages and the murder of people who tried to flee. Boko Haram has obtained control of the area, creating the conditions for an independent area on the model of the caliphate, which the extremists Africans claimed to be inspired and to feel connected. To be immediately threatened is now Cameroon, the boundaries of which are adjacent to the area occupied by the terrorists, while also Chad and Niger may suffer encroachment of the fundamentalists. It is a phenomenon not yet fully taken seriously by the Western powers, which focused more on the Middle East scenario; conversely also the African poses risks, which if overlooked, could cause serious problems for regional and global stability. Meanwhile, you must always keep in mind that since 2009, when it started the confrontation between the state and the movement of Nigerian Boko-Haram, the victims caused by Islamic militants amounted to about 15,000 units. Within this macabre total there are numerous civilians, fallen by the fierce application of sharia, Islamic law, which resulted in the complete cancellation of any basic right; this element would be enough only to develop a strategy in support of African governments, appearing surprised and disorganized in front of the presence of Islamic extremism organized in complex form, much more difficult to deal with than the cells of Al Qaeda. Boko-Haram, in fact, has the characteristics of the Islamic State present in Syria and Iraq, has an efficient military organization and has cutting-edge weapons, which, often, the regular armies Africans are lacking. To make it similar to the caliphate there is a great determination of its people, eager to open a front just as difficult for the West, where the mission are succeeding fully. It remains to investigate the appearance of the financing of the group, which, over the extortion imposed on local notables, could have benefited from foreign grants. The difficulty to fight the terrorist group is the absence of contrast elements similar to the Kurds, in the territory of action of Boko Haram, which has no difficulty against military forces armed and badly too demotivated. Failure to respond Western insufficient even in the organization and coordination, leaving the African nations, already struggling with heavy internal problems, which are critical to the success of Boko-Haram, at the mercy of a strong risk of widening the Islamist contagion, with obvious repercussions on the economic aspects of social facilities poor, but growing rapidly. The need for action in some form by the richest nations appears urgent and in their own protection. A conjunction of fundamentalism Nigerian with that sub-Saharan, able to reach the shores of the Mediterranean, on the southern borders of Europe would bring a threat that would justify a state of war. At that point, with a state of permanent alert, the repercussions on the stability Western would be such as to alter the world's major economies, destabilizing the current world order. SI is a catastrophic perspective, that the occurrence of certain junctures is, unfortunately, far from unlikely.

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