The prospects of relations between Obama and Netanyahu

While ensuring that the bilateral relations between the US and Israel are not at issue, as it will interrupt the cooperation between the two nations in the military and intelligence, President Obama stated that it is very difficult to conceive the creation of a Palestinian state, despite the post-election statements of Netanyahu, after the structure of the Israeli parliament, determined by the outcome of the elections. Consequently the White House think that the prospects for peace are very distant. Obama intends to lasting peace and stability, not the form of precarious balance, that has marked the recent phase of relations between Israelis and Palestinians, where violations of the territories, which took place with the construction of settlements that have stolen land and territory to the Palestinians, are been the rule and where you took military action against Gaza, which has affected many innocent Arab civilians. This state of affairs seems to acknowledge Obama, almost with resignation, preparing to live the last phase of his presidency, with the certainty of not being able to achieve a major goal, in foreign policy, he set for himself: the creation of the Palestinian state. US President mattered much, as a last resort, on a different election result, which allowed to communicate with a new executive and especially no more Netanyahu as the main contact. Instead the political conditions that will determine the majority in Israel have been virtually confirmed, although the polls has reinforced the party of Israeli Arabs, which on one side shows the growing political unity of the component with the Arab citizens in Israel, but on the other could bring a dose of greater conflict in the country's parliament. This is not enough for the ambitions of Obama, who will be forced also to seek coexistence with the Israeli prime minister, strong sympathies of the US Republicans. The main problem for Obama is that his administration, in the remaining period, will have to find the best way to manage relations between the two territories; This fact has two reasons: the first is that the US is perceived in the world, and it is so in fact, as the official mediators between Israel and the Palestinians, the second is that any further deterioration of relations, which are now one of the lowest points, between the two parties, it could cause a reaction in the Arab world, among which are strategic allies for the US, which could put Israel in trouble, especially at a time where the component fundamentalist terrorism is one of the major emergencies global security. Do not underestimate even the growing hostility, which is leading Israel to a greater isolation, with consequences in the growing sector of the economy, from several European countries, an audience will grow putting Tel Aviv in serious political trouble. There is also the problem of the appeals of the Palestinian authorities to international bodies such as the International Court of Justice, which could rule in a manner adverse to Israel, provoking international sanctions of the type that would subject Tel Aviv to allegations that the United States also could not escape. The lack of harmony between the two executive directors could then result in expulsion occasions that Obama does not want to, but that the policy that will decide to implement the next Israeli government might cause. The tenant of the White House will have to be good at balancing the needs of the US government, especially at the international level and the complicated system of alliances, with the feelings and reflections of the aspects of domestic policy, which, at the time, two forces seem contrary vector . The fate of Obama seems to be to try and find a coexistence with the next Israeli government, which can minimize the factors of contrast, in a complicated structure with too many variables out of control; probably the tactic of the White House will have to be cautious in its approach, but without derogating from absolute limits, which could spoil other equilibria, often contiguous, of which the most striking example is that of the current and negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue. Without going on the subject situations similar contrast that will arise between Washington and Tel Aviv are expected different, because of the great difference in perspective between the two executive directors, difficult to predict the evolution of the state of relations between characters so far, but the mutual convenience seems to be to keep down the level of confrontation, this will encourage, not the solution advocated by one of the individual parts, but rather, a series of compromises on the progressive advancement of the situation and contingencies. Globally it is not a great prospect, but we must make do.