Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 28 maggio 2015
US rejects any possible extension for the signature on the Treaty of the Iranian nuclear
The possibility of extending the negotiations on Iran's nuclear is not an option contemplated by the United States. The
possibility had been raised by both the Iranian negotiators, both by
the French Ambassador to the United States, but was firmly rejected by
Washington, determined not to exceed the date fixed for some time on 30
June. The
reasons the White House is to prevent a disruption in the already
difficult action of foreign policy that the Americans are carrying out
in the Middle East. Right
now the US has to juggle the grievance Sunni, especially the Gulf
countries and Israel, which are contrary to the closure of the
negotiations, and the need for Iranian support on the ground against the
forces of the Islamic State. Tehran
would agree to a postponement, which seeks, presumably, to acquire
further skills in nuclear technology in a short period of time, not yet
subject to the rigid constraints of the treaty being signed final. For
the USA it is necessary to close on time and settle the matter
definitively, to initiate a more comprehensive detente with Iran, with a
view to combating terrorism and Sunni, at the same time, gain the
confidence that the front Tehran of nuclear weapons can not be a threat. In
contrast, Saudi Arabia fears that the treaty does not present
sufficient safeguards to prevent the development of nuclear technology
in the military version for the country of Iran and has repeatedly urged
Washington not to give permission to the development of what should be
only technology for civilian purposes. On
this same location is also Israel, to which Saudi would offer some sort
of collaboration, some spoke of alliance, based on these shared
feelings. That
France may have suggested a possible postponement, it seems to be a
symptom of research, unlike the Iranians purposes, more forms of
control; in
fact Paris has always been a member of the group called the 5 + 1 (the
United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia and China), which
is negotiating with Iran, with stiffer Tehran. This
French attitude, which has so far been the only one, apart from that of
the Iranians, to favor a further derogation, appears in stark contrast
to the US and will not appear to be functional in some specific goal of
exclusive interest of Paris, as the It can result in a program derived from directives agreed with third countries. Who
has no interest that the negotiations reach the end wants to leave open
a door to prevent Iran's nuclear technology development, but doing so
runs the risk of their own benefit Tehran. Both
Israel and Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf countries, are still in a
position to oppose the possibility of Iran becoming a nuclear power, if
only for civilian use, giving up, however, to regulate in a clear and
sharp the phenomenon. There
is a twofold explanation for this attitude, the first is the official
one, which is also not true and facade: if Iran was able to really get
into the club of nuclear powers, military, regional balance would
probably altered. The second explanation relates to the end of sanctions, which would become almost automatic with the signing of the agreement. Then Iran could export its own oil and gas, affecting the economic power of the Gulf monarchies. But
this reason is also, in addition to the geopolitical, one of the
engines of the negotiation: for the US would open a potentially huge
market where to sell their goods, as well as for Europe, while China
could gain access to a new source of supply for energy materials and the same press Russia to develop forms of business cooperation with Tehran. For
the same reasons, Iran could take a soft line and choose not stiffen in
its request for referral, after one of the objectives set out in the
election campaign by the winner was just able to get the end of the
sanctions to improve the economic status of the country .
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