Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 28 maggio 2015

US rejects any possible extension for the signature on the Treaty of the Iranian nuclear

The possibility of extending the negotiations on Iran's nuclear is not an option contemplated by the United States. The possibility had been raised by both the Iranian negotiators, both by the French Ambassador to the United States, but was firmly rejected by Washington, determined not to exceed the date fixed for some time on 30 June. The reasons the White House is to prevent a disruption in the already difficult action of foreign policy that the Americans are carrying out in the Middle East. Right now the US has to juggle the grievance Sunni, especially the Gulf countries and Israel, which are contrary to the closure of the negotiations, and the need for Iranian support on the ground against the forces of the Islamic State. Tehran would agree to a postponement, which seeks, presumably, to acquire further skills in nuclear technology in a short period of time, not yet subject to the rigid constraints of the treaty being signed final. For the USA it is necessary to close on time and settle the matter definitively, to initiate a more comprehensive detente with Iran, with a view to combating terrorism and Sunni, at the same time, gain the confidence that the front Tehran of nuclear weapons can not be a threat. In contrast, Saudi Arabia fears that the treaty does not present sufficient safeguards to prevent the development of nuclear technology in the military version for the country of Iran and has repeatedly urged Washington not to give permission to the development of what should be only technology for civilian purposes. On this same location is also Israel, to which Saudi would offer some sort of collaboration, some spoke of alliance, based on these shared feelings. That France may have suggested a possible postponement, it seems to be a symptom of research, unlike the Iranians purposes, more forms of control; in fact Paris has always been a member of the group called the 5 + 1 (the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia and China), which is negotiating with Iran, with stiffer Tehran. This French attitude, which has so far been the only one, apart from that of the Iranians, to favor a further derogation, appears in stark contrast to the US and will not appear to be functional in some specific goal of exclusive interest of Paris, as the It can result in a program derived from directives agreed with third countries. Who has no interest that the negotiations reach the end wants to leave open a door to prevent Iran's nuclear technology development, but doing so runs the risk of their own benefit Tehran. Both Israel and Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf countries, are still in a position to oppose the possibility of Iran becoming a nuclear power, if only for civilian use, giving up, however, to regulate in a clear and sharp the phenomenon. There is a twofold explanation for this attitude, the first is the official one, which is also not true and facade: if Iran was able to really get into the club of nuclear powers, military, regional balance would probably altered. The second explanation relates to the end of sanctions, which would become almost automatic with the signing of the agreement. Then Iran could export its own oil and gas, affecting the economic power of the Gulf monarchies. But this reason is also, in addition to the geopolitical, one of the engines of the negotiation: for the US would open a potentially huge market where to sell their goods, as well as for Europe, while China could gain access to a new source of supply for energy materials and the same press Russia to develop forms of business cooperation with Tehran. For the same reasons, Iran could take a soft line and choose not stiffen in its request for referral, after one of the objectives set out in the election campaign by the winner was just able to get the end of the sanctions to improve the economic status of the country .

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