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lunedì 27 luglio 2015

The Kurdish issue, which is essential in the fight against Islamic state

The agreement that the United States, would give Ankara to bomb positions of the Kurdistan Workers' Party, in exchange for the use of air bases in the country turkish, is likely to be one of the worst decisions in the strategic field of Washington. The entry of Turkey in the fight against Islamic state, after the ambiguous attitude held up until now, seemed to mark an important point for the United States, came after the attacks of Islamic fundamentalists in turkish territory and after the pressures that the Atlantic Alliance He had on the only Muslim ally. The geographical proximity of the infrastructure of Ankara, with the land occupied by the caliphate has always been considered important from the tactical point of view, more effective to conduct air strikes against the positions of the Islamic state. However, even if threatened by this proximity, Turkey had maintained an attitude irritates the United States, preferring to allow the transit through its borders of foreign fighters who came to swell the army of the caliphate. The reason for this attitude was only an anti Kurdish turkish for the conviction, that the war against the Islamic state was a chance of visibility too important for the Kurdish cause, which could result in increasing independence movements. So to balance a situation that could give an advantage to the Kurdish militias, the bombings against the Islamic Republic, were balanced by aerial operations against the positions of the Kurdistan Workers' Party. The impression is that Turkey wanted to regulate a situation he considered dangerous to its borders, which has become a favorite of the United States, by retracting into the economy of this action also repression against the Kurds, considered the most dangerous domestic foes . So back to the fore the Kurdish issue within the country and worries turkish world diplomacy, which called for a solution, with no response from Ankara. The most important question, however, is whether the choice to indulge the wishes Turks can harm the United States and the fate of the war against the Islamic state. Obama has so far chosen not to engage on the ground with actual Americans, work, for the most part just by Kurdish militias and the Iranians; the commitment on the ground is considered much more important than the aerial operations, both signs that provide aviation by identifying and reporting objectives, both for the defense of the territory, against a force, that of the caliphate, which He did the share of land his strong point to conquer the whole territory so far removed to Syria and Iraq. The role of the Kurds was, therefore, far and essential for the future development of the conflict seems indispensable. Kurds fight in the hope of reaching their state, as has already been stated the leader of the Iraqi Kurdish area and were, until the war against Saddam, a historical ally of the United States. While the world is still split into several Kurdish movements, allowing an attack on its part, it could generate reactions rather significant to Washington. Besides the US they have never known formally support the creation of a Kurdish state, preferring to suggest solutions to large administrative autonomy, but still within the original states. The course of the Middle East conflict, however, suggests the possibility of new regional structures that would result from the division of Syria and Iraq, so as to promote the Kurdish autonomy already in development in state entities. Geographically the area of ​​Kurdistan is located in the part where are the borders of Syria, Turkey, Iraq and Iran. When the autonomy enjoyed by Kurds in Syria and Iraq may do portend a union of Kurdish areas that are located in these two countries, on the contrary it seems impossible that Iran could give Kurdish territory under its sovereignty and so Turkey , but fears this trend, fearing a possible contagion of the desire for independence within its borders. Moreover Ankara has always declared its opposition to the formation of an independent Kurdish state. If the Iraqi Kurds are those closest to break away from Baghdad, recently this possibility is also increased for those Syrians: more than one analyst saw as a solution to the Syrian War division into three parts of the country, with the Shiite Assad with a good chance of keep the lead, some Sunni and finally own a Kurdish. On the other hand, it has recently opened an unofficial collaboration between Damascus and the Kurds, just as an anti Caliphate. All these elements combine to justify, according to the vision of Ankara, the Turkish fears. It remains an objective fact that the United States Kurdish cooperation is essential, and have sacrificed the Turkish side could have very negative consequences. This error can only be balanced by large openings to the political ambitions of the Syrian Kurds and the Iraqi government, backed by strong military supplies, which could mitigate the reactions to consent to the action of Ankara. Once again, American diplomacy attempting a balancing act recklessly, which could create a very dangerous fall, that adversely affects the outcome of the war against the Islamic state. Washington must now balance absolutely concession to Turkey, with a decision of the same political weight in favor of the Kurds, not to alienate the alliance as important, it allows you to have fighters on the ground without involving American soldiers.

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