Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 27 luglio 2015
The Kurdish issue, which is essential in the fight against Islamic state
The
agreement that the United States, would give Ankara to bomb positions
of the Kurdistan Workers' Party, in exchange for the use of air bases in
the country turkish, is likely to be one of the worst decisions in the
strategic field of Washington. The
entry of Turkey in the fight against Islamic state, after the ambiguous
attitude held up until now, seemed to mark an important point for the
United States, came after the attacks of Islamic fundamentalists in
turkish territory and after the pressures that the Atlantic Alliance He had on the only Muslim ally. The
geographical proximity of the infrastructure of Ankara, with the land
occupied by the caliphate has always been considered important from the
tactical point of view, more effective to conduct air strikes against
the positions of the Islamic state. However,
even if threatened by this proximity, Turkey had maintained an attitude
irritates the United States, preferring to allow the transit through
its borders of foreign fighters who came to swell the army of the
caliphate. The
reason for this attitude was only an anti Kurdish turkish for the
conviction, that the war against the Islamic state was a chance of
visibility too important for the Kurdish cause, which could result in
increasing independence movements. So
to balance a situation that could give an advantage to the Kurdish
militias, the bombings against the Islamic Republic, were balanced by
aerial operations against the positions of the Kurdistan Workers' Party.
The
impression is that Turkey wanted to regulate a situation he considered
dangerous to its borders, which has become a favorite of the United
States, by retracting into the economy of this action also repression
against the Kurds, considered the most dangerous domestic foes . So
back to the fore the Kurdish issue within the country and worries
turkish world diplomacy, which called for a solution, with no response
from Ankara. The
most important question, however, is whether the choice to indulge the
wishes Turks can harm the United States and the fate of the war against
the Islamic state. Obama
has so far chosen not to engage on the ground with actual Americans,
work, for the most part just by Kurdish militias and the Iranians; the
commitment on the ground is considered much more important than the
aerial operations, both signs that provide aviation by identifying and
reporting objectives, both for the defense of the territory, against a
force, that of the caliphate, which He did the share of land his strong point to conquer the whole territory so far removed to Syria and Iraq. The role of the Kurds was, therefore, far and essential for the future development of the conflict seems indispensable. Kurds
fight in the hope of reaching their state, as has already been stated
the leader of the Iraqi Kurdish area and were, until the war against
Saddam, a historical ally of the United States. While
the world is still split into several Kurdish movements, allowing an
attack on its part, it could generate reactions rather significant to
Washington. Besides
the US they have never known formally support the creation of a Kurdish
state, preferring to suggest solutions to large administrative
autonomy, but still within the original states. The
course of the Middle East conflict, however, suggests the possibility
of new regional structures that would result from the division of Syria
and Iraq, so as to promote the Kurdish autonomy already in development
in state entities. Geographically the area of Kurdistan is located in the part where are the borders of Syria, Turkey, Iraq and Iran. When
the autonomy enjoyed by Kurds in Syria and Iraq may do portend a union
of Kurdish areas that are located in these two countries, on the
contrary it seems impossible that Iran could give Kurdish territory
under its sovereignty and so Turkey , but fears this trend, fearing a possible contagion of the desire for independence within its borders. Moreover Ankara has always declared its opposition to the formation of an independent Kurdish state. If
the Iraqi Kurds are those closest to break away from Baghdad, recently
this possibility is also increased for those Syrians: more than one
analyst saw as a solution to the Syrian War division into three parts of
the country, with the Shiite Assad with a good chance of keep the lead, some Sunni and finally own a Kurdish. On
the other hand, it has recently opened an unofficial collaboration
between Damascus and the Kurds, just as an anti Caliphate. All these elements combine to justify, according to the vision of Ankara, the Turkish fears. It
remains an objective fact that the United States Kurdish cooperation is
essential, and have sacrificed the Turkish side could have very
negative consequences. This
error can only be balanced by large openings to the political ambitions
of the Syrian Kurds and the Iraqi government, backed by strong military
supplies, which could mitigate the reactions to consent to the action
of Ankara. Once
again, American diplomacy attempting a balancing act recklessly, which
could create a very dangerous fall, that adversely affects the outcome
of the war against the Islamic state. Washington
must now balance absolutely concession to Turkey, with a decision of
the same political weight in favor of the Kurds, not to alienate the
alliance as important, it allows you to have fighters on the ground
without involving American soldiers.
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