The new face of instability Sinai

The Sinai is the new threat to Israel. Tel Aviv fears that the Islamic state, through the Egyptian peninsula, can move attacks against its territory. It is a real danger, although the Israeli military power can not fear any offensive of the caliphate; However, an attack on Israel would have a high symbolic value, which, within the media strategy of the Islamic state, could have a major impact, especially in terms of the attractiveness of new fighters. On the other hand the Sinai is the new frontier where the caliphate tries to settle, to bring the destabilization in Egypt. The goal is to attack Cairo in response to the persecution that the military regime and is making against the Muslim Brotherhood. Egypt had already been struck with the killing in Libya of several citizens of Coptic origin, an act that sparked a violent retaliation by the Air Force Al-Sisi. The choice of the caliphate to expand its action in the Sinai was also made for the significant presence of members opposed to the military regime, who have found refuge in the territory and that can provide a solid basis for action against Cairo. The last terrorist attack carried out against a military ship Egyptian, hit by a missile departed from Sinai, at the hands of the Islamic state, Israel should seriously consider the possibility of opening a front on the south side of its border. Despite good relations with Egypt, the military, the situation of difficulty managing the Sinai Peninsula, from Cairo, forcing Tel Aviv to have to protect against potential threats. For the moment, Israel has not taken any action against Islamic militants armed preventive and leaves such initiatives to Egypt, to avoid falling into the trap of provocation, which would have mostly deleterious, but surveillance systems have been strengthened even through the intensive use of drones and the erection of barriers imposing on its borders. One of the major factors of destabilization that Israel fears is that materialize contacts between Hamas and the Islamic state. In reality, Hamas has repeatedly stated its opposition to the Caliphate and, in fact, suffers the initiatives; Indeed Salafi elements, related to the caliphate would be introduced in the Gaza Strip, just to stir up the more extreme elements of Hamas and dissatisfied by the management of the strip. This maneuver would aim to change the balance of power in Gaza to push for greater action against Israel and open a new front of instability. If this hypothesis is true both Hamas, which Israel may be forced to work together against a common enemy. The loss of political clout by Hamas is a fact, due to the results of the war unleashed by Tel Aviv against the Gaza Strip last summer. Israel, then, would be indirectly responsible for the decline of Hamas, via a sought several times but that now risks becoming concrete with very negative outcomes. Hamas believes that blaming its leadership to have partnered with the Islamic state is an Israeli strategy to remove them further legitimacy in front of Egypt, this is possible, but if the possibility of infiltration of the Caliphate in the Strip were true, it would be appropriate for all review their strategies to unite against the common enemy.