Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 16 settembre 2015
Assad is blackmailing the European Union on Refugees
Despite
the military setbacks, the tactic that Assad has pursued until now,
made him achieve the goal through which power continue to have an
important role in the Syrian affair. Damascus,
in fact, has always been essential to try to buy time in a functional
way to any change that could bring benefit to the regular forces. Despite
a strategic leadership grossly inadequate, given that one of the best
armies and armed with the availability of aviation has not been able to
effectively fight opponents, initially very divided, Assad, which is
also found with a significantly reduced space on which to exercise its sovereignty,
it remained a staple in the general framework of the struggle in Syria,
first identified by the US as a lesser evil compared to the Islamic
state, and now enjoys the support of Russia, not only moral, but
especially military and political. The
words addressed to the European Union by the dictator of Damascus,
completed the picture of revenge for Assad, who seems to have applied,
flows of refugees, a scheme already tested by Gaddafi, who, through the
regulation of migration flows departing from Libya, subjected to blackmail, most often of an economic, but also political, especially Italy and Europe through this. Assad
has expressly recognized that power to slow down the flow of refugees,
implying that it could also increase the scope, in exchange for help to
fight terrorism, as a major cause of their migrations. It
would be almost obvious argue that many of the fugitives have become
such because of the brutality of the Syrian regime, came to use chemical
weapons and explosive barrels filled with nails on their own civilians
and only victims of the conflict and the parties involved; but
this is still not enough to paint properly figure of Assad, as head of
the civil conflict and therefore totally unreliable and inadequate to
ensure a peaceful future for the country Syrian. This
is because you can not conceive of a Syria still under the yoke of an
illiberal and anti-democratic regime, which, with Assad still present,
would return to the starting point. It
must remember that the beginning of everything was due to the demand
for greater democracy and not an intrusion of religion in political life
of the country. Certainly
the democratic forces that have launched demonstrations against Assad
proved then minority, because they were not essential to the programs of
the nations that have supported Sunni fundamentalists and have enjoyed
American support, as Washington had covertly promised. The
faults of the US are known, from the beginning of the conflict, worse
is the attitude of persevering in the wrong, leaving, at the end, that
the entrance Russian scenario came to disrupt completely the situation. Assad,
however, can not count on a US aid, but is interested in the US do not
change their position of immobility and continue to consider it an enemy
functional to fight the Islamic state, which has now won every horizon
of the White House, restricting the overall view in a substantial manner. Rather
Assad is interested in European action, urging the military leadership
of France and Britain, in return for providing relief in the pressure of
migrants. This could allow London and Paris to become the stars of a solution or part of the solution of the biblical exodus in Europe. To
give additional authenticity to his plan Assad, with the support of
Putin, he said he was ready to enter into dialogue within Syria forces
that are fighting against terrorism. This
appears, however, a contradiction in terms, since the secular and
democratic forces are also enemies of the Syrian regime and therefore
there are no forces, except for the facade, can be inserted in any peace
process. Eventually
the problem Assad, who always manages to eradicate the Islamic state,
which is less obvious, however, will return to the forefront and will be
a source of deep international disputes, in proposing a key renewed
confrontation between the West and Russia. Difficult to predict the final.
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