Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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martedì 8 settembre 2015
China and South Korea closer and closer
In
the relationship between China and the two Koreas, you are developing a
gradual rapprochement between Beijing and Seoul, which can not but
worry Pyongyang. If
the ceremonies have a symbolic meaning in the East, the last big
military parade of China, it pointed out that the distance between China
and North Korea is increasing, while it seems to fit better and better
relations between Beijing and South Korea .
Analysts and observers of Chinese politics have noted that the seating
arrangements of foreign representatives during the parade was very
eloquent: absent the North Korean dictator, and already this absence
should mean a lot, the envoy to Pyongyang occupied a very secluded
location, while the South
Korean president was hosted by the Chinese president, no doubt a place
of respect, and only Putin was placed closer to the highest authority in
China. Beyond
these symbolic notations, which must not, however, escape the analysis
of the ceremony, covering a specific meaning, the trend of Chinese
relations with the two Koreas is changing profoundly and this is
evidenced by tangible political events. Beijing
can not stand for a long time the attitude of North Korea, which
continued to flaunt a behavior more and more isolated by refusing to
cooperate in economic and strategic partnership with China, which is the
only ally at its disposal. Pyongyang
appears increasingly a destabilizing factor in the region and the
possession of the atomic aggravates this feeling, also ongoing research
to miniaturise nuclear devices, for which testing has been made, which
have alarmed the entire world, raising concerns China, which does not like the attention of the Western powers to each other. China
is pursuing a policy that seeks to exert its influence in the Yellow
Sea and the East China Sea and the constant presence of US naval units
does not ensure the required peace to the Beijing government. Even the frequent clashes between the two Koreas help raise the tension and cause an alteration of regional balance. At
this historic major concerns regarding the Chinese economy and North
Korea is perceived as an obstacle fewer potential and very real to
Chinese businesses who use the streets as marine transport. Looks
past the time when China was hoping to convince North Korea to convert
to a market economy, could become a reservoir of cheap labor, this just
across the border, functional to Chinese industries. The
unreliability of Kim Jong-Un has allowed Beijing to insist on that road
and has thus caused the loss to the economy of North Korea the
opportunity to recover from his long-standing crisis. From
the point of view of the country's domestic politics of North Korea,
Pyongyang appears increasingly distant, being at the mercy of his
bloodthirsty dictator, holding his power of a system of terror and where
the citizens of his country are suffering extreme poverty. These conditions could certainly favor the possibility that North Korea could become a new market for Chinese goods. On
the contrary, even in the context of competition on a wide range of
products, South Korea can become a privileged thanks to the economic
aspect, which can promote agreements of cooperation convenient to both
countries, as their diplomats are building. Relations
between the two nations became official since 1992 and the first visit
by a Korean president in China took place only in 2013, but since then
the leaders of the respective countries met six times, while something
similar is not pounced with North Korea. Beijing
has become the largest trading partner of Seoul, a factor which has
strengthened relations between the two states, the claw South Korean
president expressed the hope that China can facilitate the reunification
of the two Koreas. Certainly, if this were to happen it would surely with the political system of the north, useless for Beijing; This
hope, however, made in official form, will only provoke further removal
of Pyongyang determining an increasingly isolated, which may also have
consequences that would have to be carefully assessed not only by China
and South Korea, but the whole world.
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