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martedì 8 settembre 2015

China and South Korea closer and closer

In the relationship between China and the two Koreas, you are developing a gradual rapprochement between Beijing and Seoul, which can not but worry Pyongyang. If the ceremonies have a symbolic meaning in the East, the last big military parade of China, it pointed out that the distance between China and North Korea is increasing, while it seems to fit better and better relations between Beijing and South Korea . Analysts and observers of Chinese politics have noted that the seating arrangements of foreign representatives during the parade was very eloquent: absent the North Korean dictator, and already this absence should mean a lot, the envoy to Pyongyang occupied a very secluded location, while the South Korean president was hosted by the Chinese president, no doubt a place of respect, and only Putin was placed closer to the highest authority in China. Beyond these symbolic notations, which must not, however, escape the analysis of the ceremony, covering a specific meaning, the trend of Chinese relations with the two Koreas is changing profoundly and this is evidenced by tangible political events. Beijing can not stand for a long time the attitude of North Korea, which continued to flaunt a behavior more and more isolated by refusing to cooperate in economic and strategic partnership with China, which is the only ally at its disposal. Pyongyang appears increasingly a destabilizing factor in the region and the possession of the atomic aggravates this feeling, also ongoing research to miniaturise nuclear devices, for which testing has been made, which have alarmed the entire world, raising concerns China, which does not like the attention of the Western powers to each other. China is pursuing a policy that seeks to exert its influence in the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea and the constant presence of US naval units does not ensure the required peace to the Beijing government. Even the frequent clashes between the two Koreas help raise the tension and cause an alteration of regional balance. At this historic major concerns regarding the Chinese economy and North Korea is perceived as an obstacle fewer potential and very real to Chinese businesses who use the streets as marine transport. Looks past the time when China was hoping to convince North Korea to convert to a market economy, could become a reservoir of cheap labor, this just across the border, functional to Chinese industries. The unreliability of Kim Jong-Un has allowed Beijing to insist on that road and has thus caused the loss to the economy of North Korea the opportunity to recover from his long-standing crisis. From the point of view of the country's domestic politics of North Korea, Pyongyang appears increasingly distant, being at the mercy of his bloodthirsty dictator, holding his power of a system of terror and where the citizens of his country are suffering extreme poverty. These conditions could certainly favor the possibility that North Korea could become a new market for Chinese goods. On the contrary, even in the context of competition on a wide range of products, South Korea can become a privileged thanks to the economic aspect, which can promote agreements of cooperation convenient to both countries, as their diplomats are building. Relations between the two nations became official since 1992 and the first visit by a Korean president in China took place only in 2013, but since then the leaders of the respective countries met six times, while something similar is not pounced with North Korea. Beijing has become the largest trading partner of Seoul, a factor which has strengthened relations between the two states, the claw South Korean president expressed the hope that China can facilitate the reunification of the two Koreas. Certainly, if this were to happen it would surely with the political system of the north, useless for Beijing; This hope, however, made in official form, will only provoke further removal of Pyongyang determining an increasingly isolated, which may also have consequences that would have to be carefully assessed not only by China and South Korea, but the whole world.

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