Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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martedì 1 dicembre 2015
The reasons for opposing reach climate deal
The
scenario that is moving around in the negotiations to reach a climate
agreement revolves around three large blocs of nations, which must
decide the actions to be taken to reduce the effects of global warming. The game is played between industrialized, developing and emerging. The
needs and requirements of each block of countries are very different
and are a significant distance which is a real obstacle in the
negotiations; then
within these three blocks the role of the three countries that most
pollute the planet, the US, China and India, it is essential to the
economy of the negotiations for the specific weight held in the overall
assessment. The
point is that the industrialized countries have reached this position
polluting earlier, emerging markets are transforming their economies
and, therefore, need to pollute in this historical period, while those
in the developing world, presumably, estimated to have a shutter of the production in the future and therefore to pollute in the future. The
responsibility of the countries that have already reached the mature
stage of industrialization, with a development of their economies from
manufacturing to areas such as tertiary or advanced services in the
field of pollution is undeniable, as is the same, so only minor because
they started their industrialization much later, that of the developing
countries, which, however, are currently the major polluters; on
the other hand also the reasons of the countries in the developing
world are not negligible: a cut pollutant emissions means a direct
proportion with a lack of growth in terms of productivity. The
issue is so difficult to resolve, because no one wants to give up
something, and you must also carefully consider the views of the oil
producing countries, who see the fight against pollution as a reduction
of their income. Of
course not all manufacturers of crude oil fall into this category, but
those economies that have developed real alternatives to their
production system, they see the fight pollution as a problem. The
objective that the summit has set is to reduce the average temperature
of the planet in a range between 1.5 and 2 degrees, but the arrangements
to arrive at this result does not seem easy. The
positive factor is the attitude of some powers like the US and Russia,
which pre different reasons are not opposed to the achievement of the
values may be appropriate to stop climate change. Even China, though conditioned by different needs, appears more conciliatory; the
Asian giant is in the dual role of a country with too high pollution,
which produces noticeable influence on the health and living conditions
of the country, which badly fits with the needs of the producer country
only manufacturing, Beijing is serving a productive setting still too
anchored to a production of low level, based on the great availability of labor. This
setting of the Chinese economy, which is already in crisis for the rise
in labor costs, has not had an adequate development to ensure quality
production can maintain the levels of growth that the Chinese government
has budgeted, however China
seems ready to accept at times deferred, a shift to cleaner fuels, also
to reduce the impact that the great country of China suffers from the
effects of pollution. In this position does not match equal availability of India behind China in the process of industrialization. The
Indian government has come up with a kind of blackmail against the
world, trying to free trade economic aid in exchange for reducing their
emissions. That
of economic contributions to reduce pollution is one of the possible
solutions that also concerns the countries, many of which sends
development, which have been hardest hit by the floods caused by rising
climate; in this case the form of economic aid can constitute a form of compensation for the damages suffered. The
aid should not be thought of only under the financial shape, but also
in transfer of knowledge to promote a sustainable industrialization. Finally,
the pollution problem is to be solved for the political and social
consequences that produces no accident that one of the causes of
migration and displacement of increasingly large numbers of people is
due to famines caused by global warming, altering economies farming increasingly difficult. Desertification and flooding are the two different sides of the same coin.
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