Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 4 gennaio 2016
The executions of the Shiites, Saudi message to Iran and the US
The
execution carried out by the Saudi government to some Shiites, accused
of terrorism, but judged in a trial widely seen summary and approximate,
is an act of foreign policy directed against Iran and a warning to the
United States. The
real responsibilities of terrorism of those executed there are strong
doubts, unless you want to consider the criticism of the Saudi regime
terrorism and support for the Arab Spring. Their
greatest fault was to be an expression Shiite opposition to the ruling
family of Saudi Arabia and then to be allies of the greatest enemy of
Riyadh: the Iranian state. The
moment when the executions took place is an important factor to be
considered within the international political scenario in which should
be placed: first the timing coincides with the end of year festivities
underway in Western countries, has prevented the grievances and due
resonance, then the course of the war against the caliphate, which is
recording a advanced state of Iraq, whose government is Shiite majority
and therefore disliked by the Saudis. This
element is the indirect growth of importance of the issue of Iran in
the Middle East and is a real attack on the Saudi supremacy in the
region. Saudi
Arabia has long been suffering from the return of Iran in the
international arena, enshrined in an official manner with the end of
negotiations on the nuclear issue; This
factor has greatly angered Riyadh also with the United States, with
which the alliance, beyond the formal aspects, is cracked. It
must be noted, that, beyond the contingent fact of the
inappropriateness of the executions, Saudi Arabia has been an ally
becoming less reliable due to increasingly divergent objectives with
Washington, linked to support for Islamist forces that gave birth to the
Islamic state . The
path of Saudi Arabia looks increasingly similar to that turkish, were
allies of the United States and the West, which are becoming less
reliable towards the White House, by pursuing a policy of national
interests contingent, but going in the opposite direction the standards set to maintain the regional balance, also of new information entered on the scene, as is the case of Iran. The
warning to Tehran is part of the dichotomy of political and religious
conflict, the internal struggle for the supremacy of Islam, between
Sunnis and Shiites and the influence of exercise on the vast region
stretching from Syria and arrived at the borders of the state of Iraq, where he is now going to war with the Islamic state. Formally,
at least with regard to Iraq, Riyadh and Tehran WOULD both pursuing the
same aim to take down the caliphate, the Islamic state actually serves
to Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, just to contain the expansionist Iran. It
is understandable that the level of interest and the resulting elements
of contrast has come to a level of management extremely difficult and
in this scenario the task of American mediation appears almost
impossible, partly because Washington no longer enjoys the confidence of
the Saudis, guilty, according to Riyadh , have given the possibilities for nuclear rearmament of Tehran. However,
this crisis comes at a time when the Islamic state appears in crisis
and this current situation should be exploited in full, without that,
the divisions between those who claim to fight. You
can, therefore, see a greater diplomatic involvement of Russia, the US
will have to call in the difficult work of detente between Saudi and
Iran, probably in exchange for concessions on the political future of
Assad, in the game that concerns the future of Syria. While
the immediate reach any compromise is essential to the goal of the
defeat of the caliphate, the future will have to be reconsidered in the
relations of the West with the Arab states who deny all forms of freedom
and civil rights and guarantees for their citizens, without going to
absurd cases to appoint at the top of the Human Rights Commission of
the United Nations, countries such as Saudi Arabia, making abundant use
of violence and the death penalty and do not guarantee full rights for
women, among other violations that carry. Around
this case you are occurring heavy controversy in the UK, with the
government of Cameron, who would support the presidency in the Saudi
exchange of votes for the achievement of other prestigious posts in the
United Nations organizations: behavior denoting, as well as between the West reliability is increasingly rare.
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