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lunedì 4 gennaio 2016

The executions of the Shiites, Saudi message to Iran and the US

The execution carried out by the Saudi government to some Shiites, accused of terrorism, but judged in a trial widely seen summary and approximate, is an act of foreign policy directed against Iran and a warning to the United States. The real responsibilities of terrorism of those executed there are strong doubts, unless you want to consider the criticism of the Saudi regime terrorism and support for the Arab Spring. Their greatest fault was to be an expression Shiite opposition to the ruling family of Saudi Arabia and then to be allies of the greatest enemy of Riyadh: the Iranian state. The moment when the executions took place is an important factor to be considered within the international political scenario in which should be placed: first the timing coincides with the end of year festivities underway in Western countries, has prevented the grievances and due resonance, then the course of the war against the caliphate, which is recording a advanced state of Iraq, whose government is Shiite majority and therefore disliked by the Saudis. This element is the indirect growth of importance of the issue of Iran in the Middle East and is a real attack on the Saudi supremacy in the region. Saudi Arabia has long been suffering from the return of Iran in the international arena, enshrined in an official manner with the end of negotiations on the nuclear issue; This factor has greatly angered Riyadh also with the United States, with which the alliance, beyond the formal aspects, is cracked. It must be noted, that, beyond the contingent fact of the inappropriateness of the executions, Saudi Arabia has been an ally becoming less reliable due to increasingly divergent objectives with Washington, linked to support for Islamist forces that gave birth to the Islamic state . The path of Saudi Arabia looks increasingly similar to that turkish, were allies of the United States and the West, which are becoming less reliable towards the White House, by pursuing a policy of national interests contingent, but going in the opposite direction the standards set to maintain the regional balance, also of new information entered on the scene, as is the case of Iran. The warning to Tehran is part of the dichotomy of political and religious conflict, the internal struggle for the supremacy of Islam, between Sunnis and Shiites and the influence of exercise on the vast region stretching from Syria and arrived at the borders of the state of Iraq, where he is now going to war with the Islamic state. Formally, at least with regard to Iraq, Riyadh and Tehran WOULD both pursuing the same aim to take down the caliphate, the Islamic state actually serves to Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, just to contain the expansionist Iran. It is understandable that the level of interest and the resulting elements of contrast has come to a level of management extremely difficult and in this scenario the task of American mediation appears almost impossible, partly because Washington no longer enjoys the confidence of the Saudis, guilty, according to Riyadh , have given the possibilities for nuclear rearmament of Tehran. However, this crisis comes at a time when the Islamic state appears in crisis and this current situation should be exploited in full, without that, the divisions between those who claim to fight. You can, therefore, see a greater diplomatic involvement of Russia, the US will have to call in the difficult work of detente between Saudi and Iran, probably in exchange for concessions on the political future of Assad, in the game that concerns the future of Syria. While the immediate reach any compromise is essential to the goal of the defeat of the caliphate, the future will have to be reconsidered in the relations of the West with the Arab states who deny all forms of freedom and civil rights and guarantees for their citizens, without going to absurd cases to appoint at the top of the Human Rights Commission of the United Nations, countries such as Saudi Arabia, making abundant use of violence and the death penalty and do not guarantee full rights for women, among other violations that carry. Around this case you are occurring heavy controversy in the UK, with the government of Cameron, who would support the presidency in the Saudi exchange of votes for the achievement of other prestigious posts in the United Nations organizations: behavior denoting, as well as between the West reliability is increasingly rare.

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