Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 5 ottobre 2016
Afghanistan under the pressure of the Taliban and the Islamic State
Afghanistan is once again in trouble with Islamic terrorist groups. If
the pressure coming from the Taliban has never ceased, now the Afghan
country is also struggling with the Islamic state, which, contrary to
what happens in Iraq, would be gaining ground in the eastern parts of
the country. The
activity of the Afghan regular forces has been intensified in recent
times to contain Taliban attacks and the Islamic state through
counter-terrorism, who are struggling to stem the action of
fundamentalists come to control about 39 districts of the country. According
to the Institute for the Middle East of Washington, the tactics of
Islamist fighters would be to focus on the achievement of lower portions
of the territory, easier to control and to defend. As
for the Islamic state, its composition is still too small to try to
launch large-scale attacks, the perception is that his tactic is to make
attacks of great media coverage, to try to attract fighters, in a
country sensitive to Islamic fundamentalism of Sunni matrix. Not
a random attack that has created quite a stir has been made in Kabul
against the Shiite minority and that has claimed more than 80 victims. So,
although with a number of militiamen still contained, the threat of the
Islamic State began to take on more definite contours and dangerous,
because of the great appeal of his message, which would tend to create a
caliphate, like the one in Syria and Iraq, all ' internal Afghan borders. For
the strategists of the Islamic State of Afghanistan is an excellent
breeding ground for ideas propounded that might favor the construction
of a sort of sovereign entity where in an integral sense to apply
Islamic law, so as to constitute a big draw for foreign fighters . It
is understandable that one of the reasons for this is the way to move
the conflict against the West in Afghanistan, to replenish the
fundamentalist threat, destined to be lost, at least militarily, Syria
and Iraq. The
strategy could be backed up by that part of the Taliban that is found
to be disappointed for a substantial immobility of the war against
Kabul, which continues to be on the same positions. The
emergence of the Islamic State could constitute a new element, seen as a
factor capable of subverting the democratic government, still seen as a
Western ally. You
might as well check the coincidence of two goals from two substantially
different subjects, the Taliban and the Islamic state, which, however,
from allies could win back the country and submit it back to a sectarian
regime. It
is understandable that this possibility represents too great a threat
to the United States, but not only, the geographical proximity of
Afghanistan should be remembered with the former Soviet countries and
Russia itself and also with China: all nations that share the problem relations with Islamic extremism. Washington,
for its part, has earmarked the huge sum of $ 5 billion, through 2020
to assist Afghan forces against fundamentalist advanced, a sign that the
US does not underestimate the problem; the
difficulty appears, however, once again the military preparation of the
country and the consequent need for the presence of foreign actual at
his side. Further
evidence of the negative situation is the greatest need for aid in war
material and troops, compared to the need for humanitarian aid, which
is, however, a substantial voice in the Kabul budgetary needs. The
US military's statements, which speak of a poor attitude in combat, by
terrorists, is, therefore, in direct conflict with the financial aid for
the Afghan army, even though the economic contribution could also be
read as a preventive methods to prevent a greater return of fundamentalists in the country. In
any case, the pacification of Afghanistan still seems far away, even
for the non-resumption of negotiations with the Taliban who do not back
off from their main condition for sitting down at the negotiating table:
the total abandonment of the American presence from the country. In light of recent developments, however, have not satisfied this request seems to have been the right decision.
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