Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 10 ottobre 2016
Trump: The Republican Party is increasingly divided
The
evolution of the Trump campaign, for some predictable ways, to a
greater extent increases the fracture within the Republican Party. To
the leaders of the party it is the confirmation of their inadequacy to
direct one of the two US parties and, above all, they have been passive
in the face ever-increasing importance in the American right, the Tea
Party movement, hence the Trump phenomenon descends directly. For
the Republican Party is the end of a conservative policy but firmly
within predefined limits: Trump has dragged the name of the party
towards a populist drift and the low political level, to restore the
credibility of this political force it will be an enterprise, not impossible, but certainly very difficult. This is not good will for the United States, nor for the whole world; the
possibility that one of the world's most important country's political
parties take such an address, can only be a source of concern for the
entire international audience: friends and enemies of the US. At
the time the party is divided, with a good part of the leadership,
which has already openly expressed against the billionaire candidate and
the remainder that are determined not to rule, but is hoping for his
defeat. One
seems small are in favor of Trump, some believe because of the
character, a bit not to disavow the response of Republican voters. On
the basis of the division is less clear-cut party, but is specific to, a
rift which stood almost on half of the voters, but where, consent Trump
is set to fall as it had still a hard core prepared to accept any loss
of style, but that seems largely insufficient to defeat Clinton. The
feeling is that the thinking of the majority of the summit is to think
of a sort of re-founding, stating the Republican Party within the furrow
of its traditional values, which can not pass through the electoral
failure of Trump. The
game is still risky because if you verify this hypothesis will be easy
for Trump lean specific blame for the defeat of the party organization,
which is already doing little to support what is officially its
candidate. What is at risk is a permanent struggle for the reason to hand over the country to democratic. Out of this situation it will not be easy and quick fix and short-term will only aggravate the state of things. One
of possible scenarios, fact is that the party is finally conquered by
the Tea Party, still influential, and become a clear populist training,
that even if a minority of internal rules, Democrats can also drag of a
dangerous drift policy. To
avoid this the Republican Party should review its policy and bring
thesis and new recipes that even in the wake of their own tradition,
they can overcome the influence of the most backward parts of the
country. It
must, that is, to find a new mode of dialogue with potential voters,
without going on populist grounds as was done in the primaries of the
party, where it became clear that the classical writing of the
Republican Party is not equipped to compete with those who It aims populist solutions to solve the problems of the country. This
fact also is a symptom of the posting of the party leaders from the
needs of the masses, who identify with the right, because it surpassed
its own right by the ideals of the Tea Party. In
part, the liability insurance to be reached this point is attributable
to the party leaders, who initially believed, to be able to take
advantage of the contribution that the Tea Party could convey the ranks
of the party, believing that govern the phenomenon, which It
got out of hand, even for the lack of alternative proposals that would
give voters the confidence in the institutional part of the political
movement. Basically
what happened was a wrong political strategy: instead of focusing on
the political content was believed to take advantage of the difficulties
of the Democrats, by finding an easier consensus, but that was based on
substantial differences ideals. From
that moment on, the consequence has been to reach his Trump as a
candidate of the Party, a candidate who represents the obvious symptom
of the bad functioning of the party, unable to protect themselves from
foreign interference. Certainly
the radicalization of the conflict on the American political scene has
been an element, in a sense, by surprise, which led to the expulsion of
two political parties that did not express historically too distant
political theories, however, if you want to make a comparison
in the democratic camp, certainly compared ungenerous for Bernie
Sanders, the party that expresses Clinton as presidential candidate, has
been able to contain, even if not always orthodox means, a shift too
far left, which could alter the appearance typical of the more moderate
training democratic politics. It
has gotten so on the eve of a presidential election, which presents a
novelty: that of a candidate endorsed by the party that practically do
not submit it. Looking
beyond the specific case, which concerns the Republican Party, it must
be emphasized that the flaw also affects the American electoral system,
which, perhaps, has become outdated and needs an adjustment, not so much
in the formal system, as in the real world, where bipartisanship does not seem to respond more to photography in the country.
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