Politica Internazionale

Politica Internazionale

Cerca nel blog

venerdì 3 febbraio 2017

The US ensure their commitment to the defense of South Korea and Japan

The message of the new Secretary of Defense of the United States, James Mattis, to Asian allies has been the desire to maintain the US commitment in East Asia. The Trump statements, both during the election campaign, and after the election for president, portend a hallway in this region, which seemed to be no longer considered central to American foreign policy. In South Korea and Japan concern about the new attitude of what has always been the most important ally of the two countries, had caused alarm in their respective governments, in a time where in this world of salt area the Chinese commitment to expand its zone of influence and where there is the presence of the North Korean dictator, Kim Jong-Un, who has repeatedly threatened its neighbors and the United States itself to use nuclear weapons against them. The Secretary Mattis, a retired general, who is visiting South Korea suffered threatened North Korea with reprisals if they try to attack the allied countries. This statement represents the best insurance for Seoul and Tokyo governments on continuing to cooperate fully with in the meantime, it seems to restore the situational United States and, with this Obama. But it can also represent a substantial step backwards Trump from his intentions to employ fewer resources by military abroad, to force the allies to a greater financial commitment. Actually about it it did not seem feasible, because ran counter to the interests of the American military, the defense industry and the same geopolitical interests of the United States. The confirmation of the support to Asian allies shows that American foreign policy, at least in this area of ​​the world, can not be varied in step by the Obama administration to that of Trump, because there are not enough valid ideological reasons to change American interests in the region and change the existing balance, especially when commercial interests are at play that affect this area of ​​the planet. US bases in South Korea, there are about twenty-eight thousand soldiers, while in the Japanese Americans are actual forty-seven thousand. A possible disengagement of the United States would force the two countries to a reorganization of their defense systems, which could also involve the creation of an atomic arsenal. To American interests it is important to avoid a new nuclear proliferation, even by allies, why would constitute a factor difficult to manage, especially for the presence of China, which is investing considerable sums for their own rearmament. If there has to be some sort of balance of nuclear arsenals in the region, it is better that this concern Washington and Beijing, without involving other nations, because this would constitute a provocation to China, which could trigger new and dangerous tensions. As the situation in existence is confirmed by the statements of the Secretary of Defense, it is not expected reactions from Beijing, which sees kept the alliance scheme already present; not as it should be for North Korea, summoned directly by Mattis; Pyongyang has been shown to not liking what he believes meddling and threats to their nuclear weapons policy, so it will be possible that the North Koreans are threatening war demonstration in the next few days. The politically most important factor appears to be the Trump intentions, at least at the international level, can not be implemented, because, despite his statements, his purposes can not be untied, not only by factors that are completely outside the control of the US government, but also the internal order, as the peculiar interests of the actual parties, also outside the institutions. This does not mean that Trump in foreign policy should be underestimated, but that for him there are limits, he probably had not considered .; this is not an entirely positive factor because it highlights the amateurism in the international arena of the new president, a poor practice that can always lead to serious mistakes and dangerous consequences.

Nessun commento:

Posta un commento