North Korea: the danger of war is ever increasing

Perhaps never so much as it is now a real risk of a conflict on the Korean peninsula. The launch of four missiles, started from the North Korean bases, and fallen in the waters belonging to the Japanese exclusive economic zone and, moreover, less than 370 kilometers from its shores, constitute an escalation of the tension, because of the technical procedures with which it was executed. In fact, the launch of the missile took place simultaneously, means, according to military analysts, the desire to make more complex their interception, thus trying to make, at least partially, the harmless missile defenses in Tokyo. It is clear that this show of force is directed against the United States and bases where stationed its military, in Japan and South Korea. In the intentions of Kim Jong-un, which seem almost pathological, there is the desire to create a ballistic missile, equipped with nuclear weapons, able to cover a distance intercontinental capable of reaching the United States; on the other hand the level of provocation is increasing with the progress of the shows of force, so that in the latter the launch of the missiles to Japan, the North Korean dictator has expressly stated that the intention was to hit US bases on Japanese soil. Pyongyang will certainly take advantage of weak measures taken against him, which, until now, consisted in the application of sanctions, in increasingly harsh theory, but that have been bypassed by the regime even with international complicity. Another factor underpinning the provocative action of Pyongyang is the necessity of existence of the state of North Korea, functional for Beijing to prevent the unification of the Koreas into one was an ally of the Americans. In this way China would find his opponents, political, military and, above all, commercial, directly on its borders. The existence of a kind of buffer zone between the Americans, present in South Korea and the Chinese border, in Beijing ensures a safety zone that does not give up easily: this, despite the problematic relations with Pyongyang, which remains the ' only ally. China, to keep alive the DPRK, in addition to bear the economic costs, also suffers the political costs, which are represented by the continued instability in the region and the continuing American presence and attention that Beijing tolerates little willingly, in a region of world, which considers its right of influence. Yet China, despite its great power available, in front of the intemperance of Kim Jong-un seems to be stuck in an attitude of passivity. Some analysts have credited Beijing attempts to overthrow the regime, all promptly failed and the same sanctions adopted against Pyongyang, the last of which was the interruption of the supply of coal, they do not seem to affect the stability of the regime. But it does not seem possible that in this case of China International policy can be limited to the usual policy of non-interference in the internal affairs of another state: the position of North Korea to Beijing remains fundamental and too important not to deal with what happens to Pyongyang, rather the perception provided by the events seems to demonstrate to the Chinese government a failure to solve the issue in their favor. On the other front, the United States, the new president trump, after the bombastic statements made during the election campaign and immediately after being elected, does not seem able to fully understand for the moment, and danger of the situation, you distinguishes more to an attitude that seems unusually cautious, probably it recommended directly by the Pentagon. If the immediate danger is from Pyongyang, seems to be still, far more dangerous a possible confrontation between Washington and Beijing, if the Americans were to meet with the North Korean weapons, in defense of Tokyo and Seoul: will China tolerate military action against not only an ally but, especially in what it considers its sphere of influence? Probably these are the considerations that form the basis of North Korean provocations aimed, once again, to get some economic benefit to a country in complete collapse, the issue is how long it will go up to Kim Jong-un.