Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 12 aprile 2017
Changes in the foreign policy of Trump
So
the United States shall respond to the announcement and hijack the
direct American naval squadron to Australia and New Zealand, to the
coasts of North Korea. Right
now Trump judges Pyongyang the main danger for the US country, although
most of Syria and the Syrian situation, where, however, has already
passed to an assault by bombing the base from which would leave the
Damascus raids with weapons chemical. This
activism Trump, which does not coincide with what was said in the
election campaign, but rather contradicts it cleanly, seems to want to
be a return to the role of the International American country
protagonist, a role which under President Obama, was resized. Trump wanted to understand clearly want to also act alone against countries that do not respect the rules of international law. If
the intention, shared or not, seems to have some justification, it must
be said that even Washington's conduct appears to violate any rule,
because it is not supported by the United Nations. However,
we have entered an era where international law seems to be worth less
and less and the Trump actions follow, and maybe they want to balance
what was done by Russia, Syria, Turkey and other countries that are to
join in a list, unfortunately very long . The
proof is that those who have violated international rules, then appeals
to them when successive violations by other countries go against their
international interests. We
are in a phase of history that contradicts the one just passed, where
violations of international law were more limited and the same qualms
were consistent when they had to break them. The
location of Trump, as in the net said contradicts what looked like its
inspiring principles outlined during the election campaign, is located
in this direction, it seems, now obliged, for those states that want to
play a leading role on the international stage . The
counter is made by the European Union that continues unabated to play a
marginal role and limited influence on world events. The
change of direction of Trump may have been dictated by many factors,
the first of which changes the address of his staff, who probably have
judged essential to the return on the world stage of the United States
in a leading role. Besides
the initiative of Russia now was a too big factor in the international
balance, which could also allow the main achievement of the campaign
stated by the sentence: America first. Certainly
the program contained in this phrase seemed to relate to domestic
policy and the economy, leaving implied an isolationist position as
could cover the international scenario. However it was a contradiction in terms, that is still less time than you might expect. The
international scenario can not be detached from the inside, but
especially economically, especially if it is the number one world power.
On
the other hand focus on external issues, it lightens the attention from
domestic ones: an old trick always used when campaign promises can not
be kept. A
further factor is that American power could not be mortified in an
isolation that also meant downsizing of its military apparatus. When
Trump had announced the increase of the defense budget, which already
constituted a clear signal that the isolationist intent could not be
maintained. Taking this road must now check the Trump intends to use military means to exert its influence. If
the Obama presidency was marked for a softer approach, using more
pronounced sanctions, Trump came on the scene in a more muscle with the
Syrian bombardment and naval deployment in the face of North Korea. The tactic seems to be to make the shows of force to achieve the goal with a diplomatic action; the
way chosen is however not so easy practicality: tensions with Moscow
seem to be back to the level of the Obama presidency, relations with
Tehran are again very bad, the ones with China do not seem to have good
health, because of the excessive impetuosity Trump and Pyongyang could be the eve of a conflict. What
is most worrying is that behind the moves of the White House does not
seem to be a systematic plan characterized by a vision of the long term,
but only extemporaneous approaches able to promote potentially
dangerous situations.
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