Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 4 maggio 2017
The serious situation in Venezuela
The situation in Venezuela is becoming more and more dangerous. If,
from the point of view of food supply and medicine, the situation is
more than critical, President Maduro's initiative to create a
constituent to overcome parliamentary prerogatives is more and more like
trying to hit a state. The
country has been fragmented for some time now, but now the traditional
consensus of the party's party members is beginning to fall: the poorest
part of the country, the country's most critical condition. This
may be one of the reasons that led Maduro to seek an absurd solution
and hardly achievable, if not at the expense of exacerbating even more
the country's tensions. The solution appears to be found dictated more by the despair and the inability to generate a resolution of the situation. Probably
the best would be new elections, but, probably, that's just what Maduro
wants to avoid, because he is sure of the defeat. Violence
in the country is now an almost normal factor in Venezuelan life:
Protesters who are increasingly battling with law enforcement officers
add criminals and desperate bands who are trying to take advantage of
the chaos in the country . As
we understand, the attempt to exaggerate the legislative power, where
the majority is against Maduro, seems to go against any logic of
reconciliation between the two political parties, the only tool,
perhaps, really capable of restoring a more normal state of affairs ,
But the responsibility lies with the Venezuelan government and its
president, who do not intend to give up the power they have gained. The
building of the Constituent appears to be a factor in maintaining the
power of the current governing group, with the establishment of
government-friendly figures in the constitutional commission, where
Maduro's wife will also be accommodated. Moreover, participation in the vote will not be universal and perhaps the vote will not be even secret. It
seems certain that the government will decide who will be able to take
part in the vote, with the certainty that at least half the voters will
be elected among the groups supporting Maduro. At
the same time, the president's followers are trying to intimidate the
parliament with violent acts, including the attempt to occupy the seat
of the Venezuelan Legislative Assembly. On
the international level, appeals for a peaceful solution to the
situation in the South American country, which seems to be on the brink
of civil war, have been multiplied. One of the most involved actors is the Vatican diplomacy, which is working to seek an understanding. Concern
is shared by the United States, Brazil and Argentina, who have all
condemned Maduro's initiative as a violence against democracy. The
current situation in Venezuela is largely dependent on economic reasons
linked to the fall in the price of oil, from which the country's
economy has been and is still too dependent; Governments,
you know that of Chavez, and that of Maduro never elaborating an
alternative economic and productive strategy, this has caused the
current extreme poverty situation, which is extending to much of the
country's social fabric. The
refusal to undertake economic reforms sufficient to guarantee the
population sufficient levels of adequate quality of life has been added
to a lack of redistribution of wealth, which has been directed towards
the neighbors and neighborhoods closest to Maduro; These,
even in the negative economic situation that afflicts the country, did
not prove to be a successor to Chavez's height and to have established a
sort of populist authoritarianism, which he wanted to be left but which
in the end was distinguished only to favor a part Politics,
without following the vision, perhaps utopian, of his predecessor, who
somehow tried to implement a redistribution of national income. If
Maduro remains in power, it is announced a dictatorial regime that
brings back the South American region back for several years and can
favor an alteration of the balance, thanks to the possible entry of
foreign powers alongside the dictator to exploit the natural resources
of the country. It
is therefore a threat to the opening of a new international front that
may once again conjure up the cold war scenarios or those of the
over-invasion of great powers.
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