Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 27 febbraio 2018
The poor prospects of the Italian vote
The
Italian political elections are getting closer, but this deadline does
not heat up the minds: in the Italian electorate there is a distance,
which borders on resignation. The same debates take place almost with detachment, providing a perception of the result already expected. The
polls confirm a probable difficulty in reaching a governing government,
due both to the new electoral system and to a political balance that
will not give victory to any deployment. The
presence of the data concerning abstention, which before the value of
the last governments and the low level of the candidates, assumes a
value that can be attributed more to a disaffection due to the poor
quality of the political offer, than to a general lack of interest. The
question is not secondary, even if falsely ignored by the political
protagonists, because it implies an increasingly marked delegitimization
of the ruling class and therefore, of the new (or old) elected in the
parliament. This
signal was deliberately ignored by the parties, which, in fact,
conducted an election campaign made of unattainable programs and
therefore far from the needs of the population. The
one that is about to be concluded was an electoral campaign conducted
in a minor tone because, in the end, it concerned the directors present
in the parties and their struggle to secure the leadership positions
already decided in increasingly narrow meetings imposed by the
community. The
separation between that will be elected, of any political party, and
the citizenship appears as huge as it has never been before, the
theoretical disquisitions to which we have assisted have been the most
distant from real problems like work and security, treated only through repeated slogans to infinity. The
end result will be a coalition that will put together non-reconcilable
parts and which can only carry out the ordinary administration. On
the other hand, this is already present in the deployments present: in
the center-right positions of the moderates appear very distant from
those who want to inspire extreme political conduct, while in the center
that emerges is a kind of movement that protects banks and finance, a
contradiction that states the farthest away is the social part that is said to want to defend. Even
those who have not lined up in coalitions, such as the Five Star
Movement, do not seem to be trustworthy for the obvious inexperience and
unreliability that has shown. From
this scenario any executive that can be formed does not seem able to
autonomously bear the weight of the challenges within the European Union
and, to look in a wider vision, in increasingly polarized
globalization. The
Italian destiny appears to be subordinate to Germany and France in
Europe, without the possibility of playing a major role on a par with
these two countries. In
a general context such as that of the Union, a weak government, because
without a well-defined unitary address, is a risk because there is the
real possibility that Italy sees itself imposing, and therefore
suffering, unfavorable decisions also coming from countries with a
weight specific far less than the Italian one (the issue of immigration is its natural example). Not
only do they seem to serve hypotheses such as creating a national unity
government, which aims to revise an electoral law, certainly wrong, but
which has just been redone: the possibility that the same people who
have approved it will elaborate better and that allows greater governability, can only be seen with extreme suspicion. The
future, then, can only be a succession of measures with little impact
on the necessary long-term programming, because it is always the result
of excessive mediation but necessary to keep a weak executive alive even
before being born.
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