Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 28 maggio 2018
Italy: the bad management of the political crisis
The
Italian story presents a very relevant anomaly both for the internal
situation of the country, and for the allied countries, and for the
European Union. Italy
has arrived at this state of affairs for a political situation strongly
divided because of policies and relations between the very
contradictory parties, which led to the construction of a completely
wrong electoral law, a sum of the defects of proportional and majority,
built to encourage the aggregation of seemingly conflicting forces. However, the electoral outcome has subverted this understanding by regulating the chaos of uncertainty to the country. To
say that the current electoral law is the only responsible cause of the
current state of affairs is false, but it is certainly true that the
vote counting tool was built irresponsibly and contributed decisively to
this institutional crisis. Of
course, first of all there is the low level of the Italian political
class, which is not capable, whatever the political and party
orientation, to express a competent and not improvised leadership class.
The
horizon of this political class is always the very short period,
understood as a period of time where to draw the greatest personal
advantages. Having
said that, as a general premise, the management of the President of the
Republic appeared to be vitiated by errors of political opportunity,
which could lead to the institutional confrontation. According
to the law in force the coalition that would have reached at least 40%
of the votes, with a majority prize, had to be rewarded; no
coalition, or single party, has reached this threshold, but the fact
remains that the center-right team is the one that has come closer,
resulting in the moral winner of the competition. Certainly
the seats in the two branches of the parliament do not ensure the
majority, but the first task to form the government was due to this
coalition, even if the construction of an executive would not have been
achieved. This
was the first mistake made by the Italian president, who preferred to
look for more shared solutions from the political forces, but thus
created a prestige for the center-right forces. It
must be specified that the formulation of the government was,
immediately, conditioned by the vetoes of the parties, which were not
available to form coalitions in the general interest able to reach the
majority. The stubborn closure of what is called the left has contributed in an important way to the current scenario. Left
defeated by a previous government policy that provided the exclusive
perception of a right-wing action, characterized by measures against the
protection of labor, in favor of precariousness and oriented towards
the support of bank institutions managed in a patronage manner. The
only solution that has been proposed for the creation of a government
was the alliance between the populist and anti-star system of the "Five
Stars" and the anti-European formation "Lega Nord", which had supported
the extreme right in the French elections. Despite
having different objectives and objectives, the two parties have
managed to build a sort of program called "contract" where the most
important programmatic points of the two camps have been included, such
as flat tax, citizenship income and pension reform; however,
the financial coverage of these measures has never been clear (within a
country with one of the highest public debts) and this has contributed
to the failure of the government's formation, otherwise imputed to the
refusal to appoint a minister opposed to the currency unique European. Here
the Italian president made the second mistake by preventing the
formation of the executive, providing the perception of acting on the
suggestion of Europe and providing the alibi of not allowing the
government to change without having put the two poltical forces to the
test of facts . What
remains is a scenario destined for elections where the possibility that
"Lega Nord" and "Movimento Cinque Stelle" are able to reach an absolute
majority without any possibility of contrast, not even institutional. The
post-election management has produced a highly polarized situation of
difficult resolution, where Europe has its faults due to the
interference carried out, but the most important institutions have acted
in a rigid way, without an objective of, at least, medium-term and they are perched in positions of defense that are incomprehensible to most of the electoral body. The future is even more difficult.
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