Politica Internazionale

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lunedì 29 aprile 2013

The conflict between Shiites and Sunnis is likely to spread beyond Iraq

Climb the victims of the attacks in Iraq. The 200 people died in less than a week, as a result of violence that seem to increase more and more, have raised impression even in a country, now, unfortunately accustomed to terrorist incidents. Iraq is always described as the brink of a civil war, in fact the size of the carnage, which lasts until the U.S. invasion, clearly say that the nation is an ongoing internal conflict itself. The central problem is the aversion historical growth between the community, the majority in the country, and Sunni. With Saddam Hussein in power, this contrast was stifled by an authoritarian dictatorship, which favored the ethnic Sunni, that of the origin of the dictator, with the assignment of positions in the society and the army. The fall of the dictator of Baghdad at the hands of the Americans, which was to liberate the country and bring democracy, has, in fact, left open the question between Shiites and Sunnis, without supervision. The responsibility of the American state of affairs currently present in Iraq is very heavy, which is increased with the abandonment of the U.S. military from a country not yet ready for self-management of their problems. Even in the absence of an international coordination that could find solutions to avert a situation in continuous degeneration, it is definitely equally responsible for the state of violence that reigns in Iraqi territory. A possible solution could be to divide the state entity materially in three separate states where Iraqi Shiites and Sunnis, along with the Kurds, who already enjoy a high degree of autonomy, they could administer their territories. This has not happened for not giving way for Iran to exert its influence on the Scythians, who see with their natural ally of Tehran. In fact, Iran's influence has always been exerted, albeit underground, but for this in an even more insidious. Until now, the reality has been underestimated because Iraq's seen as limited phenomenon, but the size of the phenomenon and its links with other situations, bring to the forefront. Currently the Sunni minority feel marginalized from decision-making processes of the state, who see monopolized by the Scythians. This sense of frustration is likely to widen dangerously beyond the borders of the state, thanks to the situation in Syria, where the Sunni Iraqis seem to sympathize with the rebels opponents of Damascus and then to Tehran and Hezbollah. This situation creates a potential increase in sectarian division at the international level between the two major currents of Islamism, with an apparent fallout of the stability of different regions of the world. Do not focus on the Iraqi situation in the proper manner, it can mean, for the West, find themselves unprepared in the face of a dangerous evolution of the relationship between Shiites and Sunnis that Iraq can extend on the international stage, to directly involve reference countries of the two currents. The relationship between Saudi Arabia and Iran, in this regard, which is already severely compromised for supremacy in Islam, no doubt suffer a worsening further. If the scenario of greatest crisis in the country, which took place between 2006 and 2007, did not correspond to a highly unstable international situation like the present, then the continuation of violence in the present context is bound to reverberate in the neighboring countries, spreading out in a systematic manner . Stop the violence in Iraq is an investment for the peace of a large part of the world, which is, moreover, strategic for its large number of oil.

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