Politica Internazionale

Politica Internazionale

Cerca nel blog

mercoledì 4 settembre 2013

Putin could support an attack against Syria, supported by convincing evidence

Vladimr Putin changes, a little, its position against possible military action against Syria . While stating that the initiative , if it is undertaken , it must be conducted under the auspices of the UN , by the affirmative vote of the Security Council , the Russian president opens to a penalty that punishes the use of chemical weapons. The first impression is that Russia should adopt a less rigid , in fact , until now , Moscow had defended unconditionally Damascus and new declarations new scenarios on the Syrian conflict , it will be necessary , however , to determine whether the intentions of Putin sincere or if it is a diversionary tactic , trying to gain time to counter the American actions . Beyond statements of intent , in fact, Russia is expected to have evidence on the actual use of chemical weapons , and on the real authors of the bombing with unconventional weapons . It should be noted that the next 5 September is expected to hold a bilateral meeting just between the U.S. and Russia , which Obama has not yet canceled ; Putin could have made ​​these statements in order to avoid that the American President to confirm the appointment, and that the meeting takes place in a climate somewhat more relaxed. One of the reasons for the worsening of relations between the two countries is constituted by the continuous supply of arms from Moscow to Damascus, Russia has always worked this trade in war material , justifying it with the fact that the UN has not imposed restrictions on the sale of weapons to Syria, which is done through regular contracts and to a legitimate government , while supplies to the rebels , which take place in a secret , infringes the rules of international law , but Moscow has suspended the supply of anti-aircraft missile , without interrupting the relationship of military cooperation with Syria. According to Putin Russia has , however, a position of principle in relation to the possible use of chemical weapons by Assad , if proven by convincing evidence and not through intelligence operations , which is considered a heinous crime because it happened through weapons of mass destruction, but the same location will also be against the rebels , if it is discovered that they have made ​​use of similar weapons , but in this case Moscow will behave just as sanctions by Washington . These considerations allow us to understand how the disposition of Russia does not seem to actually varied , but always remains in favor of Syria, the attitude has changed only at the diplomatic level , the more willing a kind of dialogue , through overtures , practiced with structure variables, which not far removed from its original location . Perhaps Moscow look hoping to delay the American action in the results of the upcoming summit and giving , therefore, so Assad to gain ground in the ongoing civil war , but it seems unlikely that Putin will be able to do to change your mind to the American president , with only concessions at no cost.

Nessun commento:

Posta un commento