Lebanon: what could be behind the attack on Iran

The attack against Iran , which took place in Lebanon , on the outskirts of Beirut, against the diplomatic mission in Tehran , should be considered essentially within two logics : the war in Syria and the increasingly bitter confrontation that is tearing Islam , the conflict between Shiites and Sunnis. Tehran historic ally of the regime in Damascus , Assad has supported from the beginning of the conflict , both in the first person , which materially assisting the movement Hezbollah, which has its own base in Lebanon. Hit the country in Beirut Iran also wants to be a warning to Hezbollah, which is particularly strong in the land of the cedars . If the person who has made materially the attack was Al Qaeda, as it seems, the level of conflict is likely to rise, since it exceeds the Syrian border to directly affect the structures of a state that is party to the conflict , but that until now is not officially gone beyond the political support. In fact, Iranian militants have been used against the crowd already in the early unrest , which eventually led Syria to civil war. The explanation that the reasons for the attack should be sought in military actions that have caused many victims Sunni is certainly incomplete and reductive , because it underestimates the symbolic target hit . In fact Iran as the enemy target is ideal for those who want to overthrow the regime in Damascus , perhaps replacing it with a Sunni caliphate , both the religious opponent , in a fight where , as to extremism , Sunnis now seem to have passed the Scythians . This is not a minor issue , the battle for supremacy of Islam is taking place in a vast territory , almost global , and threatens to drag several areas of the world in a very dangerous instability for the geopolitical balance . Of course there is also an intimidating intent , which aims to deter the Iranians to continue to support Assad , otherwise the repetition of other terrorist acts , but these threats can not have been brought into account by the apparatus Iranians, who , however, never abandon Syria, to try to keep the influence on the country , which is considered the most essential in the political strategy of Tehran. The Iranian reaction has accused the Zionist entity , then Israel and its accomplices , launching a veiled indictment of the U.S. , preferring not to exasperate publicly religious confrontation . In fact, it seems hard to believe that , for the manner in which the attack occurred , Tel Aviv is responsible and the United States , along with other Western powers have condemned the act calling it senseless . Some analysts glimpsed a possible involvement of the services Saudis, worried , both for the stalemate in the Syrian War , both at the turn taken by the negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue , which has approached Washington and Tehran. However, without concrete evidence , that would put Obama in big trouble , this possibility remains a hypothesis without foundation. Instead it shall be considered the possibility that the attack opens a struggle between Iran and Hezbollah against Al Qaeda if the scenario were to be limited to Lebanon , the followers of the terrorist movement could enjoy the support of the Palestinian refugees in the camps and would therefore significant benefits to follow the strategy to reduce aid for Syria from the country of Lebanon , which, however , could be involved in an escalation of attacks and reprisals that could endanger the balance . While it seems difficult to objectively that Al Qaeda may strike Iran within its territory , too controlled for terrorist experts as are the followers of Bin Laden.