Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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martedì 3 marzo 2015
The conditions in which it was achieved murder Nemtsov
Regardless
of responsibility, which can be detected or less truthfully, it is
appropriate to consider in what situations has matured the murder of the
politician Russian Nemtsov, a leading opponent of the Kremlin, Putin. The
setting which was performed on the social fabric of the country is
steeped in Russian deep aversion to the West, which has turned into a
deep sense of encirclement; This vision has developed a deep sensitivity to all social levels also towards hypothetical internal enemies. This
operation was conducted by an insistent campaign operated by means of
press closer to the government, which could have favored personal
initiatives, against those that stand with the policy implemented by the
executive Russian. The
propaganda of the Kremlin focuses on the contrast with the West, making
it by far the exaltation of Russian nationalism, used as a basic
element of the policy of Putin. This
setting has always been present in the politics of Putin and has been
one of the strengths in the electoral program that allowed him to win
the last elections. It
is, therefore, a constant, which allowed some cohesion in the majority
of the Russian people, but now meets some aspects that endanger the
integrity, creating the first cracks in the system. On
the other hand Nemtsov, is not the first opponent to perish in unclear
circumstances, a sign that the one that has been established in respect
of the dissenting voices or even objective, is becoming a tragic
practice. The
connection with the affair Ukrainian, who saw the man killed as a
political opponent of Russian strategy, can not escape even a
superficial analysis only. Kiev
is described as a fascist country to fight at all costs, which
subtracts to Russia its sacred soil and the violation of international
law is not even contemplated and implemented by the average population. We
are in a context where democracy is only nominal, and where the
political and civil rights are far from Western standards, then reason
with these meters to assess the situation in terms not related can be
misleading. However
Putin for the economic environment could become dangerous, Russia is
experiencing a period of economic crisis, exacerbated by the effects of
sanctions and the falling price of oil. The
absence of a competitive industrial structure, which has not been
adequate in the past years of wealth, has forced the Russian people to
review their standards and this factor could result in new awareness in
society. One
possible scenario is the intensification of the protest movements, with
the consequent increase of repression for those who deviate from a line
drawn from the Kremlin. If
this happens can not be excluded situations of permanent protest,
capable of breaking the balance that has been created between Putin and
the Russian company. Much
will also depend on the evolution of the international situation,
especially in the Ukrainian conflict: whether Moscow will continue in
his direction could incur penalties even heavier, especially in the
financial sector, the only one still able to support the economy of the
country. Such
a perspective would, in the medium term, about a year, putting a strain
on the public purse, with obvious repercussions on the order and social
stability.
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