Politica Internazionale

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martedì 3 marzo 2015

The conditions in which it was achieved murder Nemtsov

Regardless of responsibility, which can be detected or less truthfully, it is appropriate to consider in what situations has matured the murder of the politician Russian Nemtsov, a leading opponent of the Kremlin, Putin. The setting which was performed on the social fabric of the country is steeped in Russian deep aversion to the West, which has turned into a deep sense of encirclement; This vision has developed a deep sensitivity to all social levels also towards hypothetical internal enemies. This operation was conducted by an insistent campaign operated by means of press closer to the government, which could have favored personal initiatives, against those that stand with the policy implemented by the executive Russian. The propaganda of the Kremlin focuses on the contrast with the West, making it by far the exaltation of Russian nationalism, used as a basic element of the policy of Putin. This setting has always been present in the politics of Putin and has been one of the strengths in the electoral program that allowed him to win the last elections. It is, therefore, a constant, which allowed some cohesion in the majority of the Russian people, but now meets some aspects that endanger the integrity, creating the first cracks in the system. On the other hand Nemtsov, is not the first opponent to perish in unclear circumstances, a sign that the one that has been established in respect of the dissenting voices or even objective, is becoming a tragic practice. The connection with the affair Ukrainian, who saw the man killed as a political opponent of Russian strategy, can not escape even a superficial analysis only. Kiev is described as a fascist country to fight at all costs, which subtracts to Russia its sacred soil and the violation of international law is not even contemplated and implemented by the average population. We are in a context where democracy is only nominal, and where the political and civil rights are far from Western standards, then reason with these meters to assess the situation in terms not related can be misleading. However Putin for the economic environment could become dangerous, Russia is experiencing a period of economic crisis, exacerbated by the effects of sanctions and the falling price of oil. The absence of a competitive industrial structure, which has not been adequate in the past years of wealth, has forced the Russian people to review their standards and this factor could result in new awareness in society. One possible scenario is the intensification of the protest movements, with the consequent increase of repression for those who deviate from a line drawn from the Kremlin. If this happens can not be excluded situations of permanent protest, capable of breaking the balance that has been created between Putin and the Russian company. Much will also depend on the evolution of the international situation, especially in the Ukrainian conflict: whether Moscow will continue in his direction could incur penalties even heavier, especially in the financial sector, the only one still able to support the economy of the country. Such a perspective would, in the medium term, about a year, putting a strain on the public purse, with obvious repercussions on the order and social stability.

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